**Forecast consensus for Wellington’s overnight minimum on August 30 centers on 9–11 °C amid clear skies and strong northwesterly winds.** Multiple official sources, including MetService guidance and international models, indicate a minimum near 9–11 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these values because model runs differ mainly on the precise timing of wind speeds and radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions. Persistent northwesterlies (15–25 knots with gusts) promote mixing that limits extreme overnight drops, while recent above-average late-winter temperatures and lack of a strong cold front keep the risk of 6 °C or lower at only 5 %. Higher outcomes above 12 °C remain near-zero probability given the current synoptic pattern. Updated MetService and ECMWF runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 30 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 30 de agosto?
7°C 50%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
11°C 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
6°C or below
4%
7°C
50%
8°C
50%
9°C
2%
10°C
27%
11°C
30%
12°C
50%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
7°C 50%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
11°C 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
6°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
7°C
$0 Vol.
50%
8°C
$10 Vol.
50%
9°C
$0 Vol.
2%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$351 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Wellington’s overnight minimum on August 30 centers on 9–11 °C amid clear skies and strong northwesterly winds.** Multiple official sources, including MetService guidance and international models, indicate a minimum near 9–11 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these values because model runs differ mainly on the precise timing of wind speeds and radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions. Persistent northwesterlies (15–25 knots with gusts) promote mixing that limits extreme overnight drops, while recent above-average late-winter temperatures and lack of a strong cold front keep the risk of 6 °C or lower at only 5 %. Higher outcomes above 12 °C remain near-zero probability given the current synoptic pattern. Updated MetService and ECMWF runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$561Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Wellington’s overnight minimum on August 30 centers on 9–11 °C amid clear skies and strong northwesterly winds.** Multiple official sources, including MetService guidance and international models, indicate a minimum near 9–11 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these values because model runs differ mainly on the precise timing of wind speeds and radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions. Persistent northwesterlies (15–25 knots with gusts) promote mixing that limits extreme overnight drops, while recent above-average late-winter temperatures and lack of a strong cold front keep the risk of 6 °C or lower at only 5 %. Higher outcomes above 12 °C remain near-zero probability given the current synoptic pattern. Updated MetService and ECMWF runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$561Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Wellington’s overnight minimum on August 30 centers on 9–11 °C amid clear skies and strong northwesterly winds.** Multiple official sources, including MetService guidance and international models, indicate a minimum near 9–11 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these values because model runs differ mainly on the precise timing of wind speeds and radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions. Persistent northwesterlies (15–25 knots with gusts) promote mixing that limits extreme overnight drops, while recent above-average late-winter temperatures and lack of a strong cold front keep the risk of 6 °C or lower at only 5 %. Higher outcomes above 12 °C remain near-zero probability given the current synoptic pattern. Updated MetService and ECMWF runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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