Recent official forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Wellington on September 19, 2026, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies overnight under partly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. Daytime highs reached 14–15°C amid 15–25 km/h winds, while overnight dew points near 9°C and humidity around 70–80% support a low in the 7–9°C range, aligning with climatological September minima. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss has emerged to shift odds toward lower thresholds, leaving 8°C as the dominant market-implied outcome based on real-time model consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 19 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 19 de septiembre?
8°C 100.0%
4°C o menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,349 Vol.
$1,349 Vol.
19 sep 2026
4°C o menos
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Sí
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C o más
No
8°C 100.0%
4°C o menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,349 Vol.
$1,349 Vol.
19 sep 2026
4°C o menos
$41 Vol.
No
5°C
$31 Vol.
No
6°C
$31 Vol.
No
7°C
$51 Vol.
No
8°C
$197 Vol.
Sí
9°C
$684 Vol.
No
10°C
$0 Vol.
No
11°C
$0 Vol.
No
12°C
$0 Vol.
No
13°C
$257 Vol.
No
14°C o más
$57 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Wellington on September 19, 2026, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies overnight under partly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. Daytime highs reached 14–15°C amid 15–25 km/h winds, while overnight dew points near 9°C and humidity around 70–80% support a low in the 7–9°C range, aligning with climatological September minima. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss has emerged to shift odds toward lower thresholds, leaving 8°C as the dominant market-implied outcome based on real-time model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,349Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Wellington on September 19, 2026, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies overnight under partly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. Daytime highs reached 14–15°C amid 15–25 km/h winds, while overnight dew points near 9°C and humidity around 70–80% support a low in the 7–9°C range, aligning with climatological September minima. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss has emerged to shift odds toward lower thresholds, leaving 8°C as the dominant market-implied outcome based on real-time model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,349Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent official forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Wellington on September 19, 2026, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies overnight under partly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. Daytime highs reached 14–15°C amid 15–25 km/h winds, while overnight dew points near 9°C and humidity around 70–80% support a low in the 7–9°C range, aligning with climatological September minima. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss has emerged to shift odds toward lower thresholds, leaving 8°C as the dominant market-implied outcome based on real-time model consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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