Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montana Senate race, an open seat in a state that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew in March 2026 and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with strong primary support and additional backing from party figures. Polling averages show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins, with the latter two splitting non-Republican support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and Montana's partisan lean, though shifts could occur from consolidated opposition turnout, late developments affecting any candidate, or unusually high independent performance in the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Montana
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Montana
Republicano 93%
Independiente 3.6%
Demócrata <1%
$111,340 Vol.
$111,340 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
93%
Independiente
4%
Demócrata
1%
Republicano 93%
Independiente 3.6%
Demócrata <1%
$111,340 Vol.
$111,340 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$55,889 Vol.
93%
Independiente
$15,289 Vol.
4%
Demócrata
$40,162 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montana Senate race, an open seat in a state that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew in March 2026 and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with strong primary support and additional backing from party figures. Polling averages show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins, with the latter two splitting non-Republican support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and Montana's partisan lean, though shifts could occur from consolidated opposition turnout, late developments affecting any candidate, or unusually high independent performance in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$111,340Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montana Senate race, an open seat in a state that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew in March 2026 and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with strong primary support and additional backing from party figures. Polling averages show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins, with the latter two splitting non-Republican support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and Montana's partisan lean, though shifts could occur from consolidated opposition turnout, late developments affecting any candidate, or unusually high independent performance in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$111,340Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montana Senate race, an open seat in a state that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew in March 2026 and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with strong primary support and additional backing from party figures. Polling averages show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins, with the latter two splitting non-Republican support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and Montana's partisan lean, though shifts could occur from consolidated opposition turnout, late developments affecting any candidate, or unusually high independent performance in the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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