The Nayarit gubernatorial race for 2027 remains fluid more than a year before the vote, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty over the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition nomination and limited polling on general-election matchups. Recent July 2026 surveys show the coalition holding a wide lead in party identification, while internal Morena preferences favor Héctor Santana García over Geraldine Ponce Méndez and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez. Bugarín’s Senate leave in June to pursue the candidacy and Santana’s registration for the coalition internal have kept those two names at the center of attention, producing the closest implied probabilities. Low shares for other listed aspirants align with their narrower bases or party affiliations. Fresh data on the current governor’s September report and any coalition survey results could shift positioning before the field narrows further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 34.5%
Héctor Santana García 30.9%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 12.4%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 11.7%
$30,127 Vol.
$30,127 Vol.
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
29%
Héctor Santana García
31%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
12%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
12%
Manuel Cota Jiménez
4%
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
3%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez
3%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez
2%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
1%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%
Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%
Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%
Gloria Núñez Sánchez
<1%
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%
José Antonio Barajas López
<1%
Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
<1%
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
<1%
Nadia Ramírez López
<1%
María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%
Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%
Enrique Díaz López
<1%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 34.5%
Héctor Santana García 30.9%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 12.4%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 11.7%
$30,127 Vol.
$30,127 Vol.
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
29%
Héctor Santana García
31%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
12%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
12%
Manuel Cota Jiménez
4%
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
3%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez
3%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez
2%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
1%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%
Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%
Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%
Gloria Núñez Sánchez
<1%
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%
José Antonio Barajas López
<1%
Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
<1%
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
<1%
Nadia Ramírez López
<1%
María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%
Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%
Enrique Díaz López
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Nayarit gubernatorial race for 2027 remains fluid more than a year before the vote, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty over the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition nomination and limited polling on general-election matchups. Recent July 2026 surveys show the coalition holding a wide lead in party identification, while internal Morena preferences favor Héctor Santana García over Geraldine Ponce Méndez and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez. Bugarín’s Senate leave in June to pursue the candidacy and Santana’s registration for the coalition internal have kept those two names at the center of attention, producing the closest implied probabilities. Low shares for other listed aspirants align with their narrower bases or party affiliations. Fresh data on the current governor’s September report and any coalition survey results could shift positioning before the field narrows further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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