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icon for ¿Putin como presidente de Rusia por...?
Geopolítica·Putin

¿Putin como presidente de Rusia por...?

icon for ¿Putin como presidente de Rusia por...?
Geopolítica·Putin

¿Putin como presidente de Rusia por...?

jul 1, 2027

jul 1, 2027

$23,763,335 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Gana un 3.25%
Polymarket

$23,763,335 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de septiembre de 2026

$1,210,307 Vol.

1%

31 de diciembre de 2026

$20,766,701 Vol.

7%

30 de junio de 2027

$432,374 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Putin maintains firm control over Russia’s political system at age 73, with no designated successor and constitutional arrangements positioning Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin as acting president only in the event of sudden incapacity, followed by elections within three months. Recent months have featured active diplomacy at BRICS and SCO summits alongside ongoing Ukraine operations and U.S.-mediated talks, while the September 2026 State Duma elections serve to reinforce United Russia’s alignment with the president and demonstrate elite coordination. Speculation centers on generational shifts among security and technocratic figures, yet reporting indicates no coordinated challenge or health developments that would trigger removal; historical patterns show Russian leaders typically remain in office until natural causes intervene. Trader assessments of an early exit therefore hinge on verifiable signs of elite fractures, major battlefield reversals, or abrupt health announcements rather than routine governance or external pressure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$23,763,335
Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Putin maintains firm control over Russia’s political system at age 73, with no designated successor and constitutional arrangements positioning Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin as acting president only in the event of sudden incapacity, followed by elections within three months. Recent months have featured active diplomacy at BRICS and SCO summits alongside ongoing Ukraine operations and U.S.-mediated talks, while the September 2026 State Duma elections serve to reinforce United Russia’s alignment with the president and demonstrate elite coordination. Speculation centers on generational shifts among security and technocratic figures, yet reporting indicates no coordinated challenge or health developments that would trigger removal; historical patterns show Russian leaders typically remain in office until natural causes intervene. Trader assessments of an early exit therefore hinge on verifiable signs of elite fractures, major battlefield reversals, or abrupt health announcements rather than routine governance or external pressure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$23,763,335
Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Putin como presidente de Rusia por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio de 2027" con 14%, seguido de "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 14¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 14% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Putin como presidente de Rusia por...?" ha generado $23.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Putin como presidente de Rusia por...?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Putin como presidente de Rusia por...?" es "30 de junio de 2027" con 14%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 14% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 7%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Putin como presidente de Rusia por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.