Skip to main content
icon for Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska
Elecciones·Elección Principal

Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska

icon for Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska
Elecciones·Elección Principal

Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 36%

Ćamil Duraković 5.3%

Begija Smajić 5.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 36%

Ćamil Duraković 5.3%

Begija Smajić 5.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Savo Minić

Savo Minić

$589 Vol.

60%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$443 Vol.

36%

icon for Ćamil Duraković

Ćamil Duraković

$108 Vol.

5%

icon for Begija Smajić

Begija Smajić

$108 Vol.

5%

icon for Jusuf Arifagić

Jusuf Arifagić

$119 Vol.

4%

icon for Marko Jorgić

Marko Jorgić

$81 Vol.

3%

icon for Bogdan Jovanović

Bogdan Jovanović

$45 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ramiz Salkić

Ramiz Salkić

$101 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivan Begić

Ivan Begić

$79 Vol.

<1%

icon for Igor Balukčić

Igor Balukčić

$101 Vol.

<1%

icon for Franjo Jukić

Franjo Jukić

$101 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivo Kamenjašević

Ivo Kamenjašević

$81 Vol.

<1%

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Republika Srpska presidential race due to his nomination as the candidate of the ruling SNSD-led coalition, which secured unified backing from coalition partners in June 2026. As incumbent prime minister since September 2025, Minić benefits from the party's established organizational strength and performance patterns in prior entity-level contests ahead of the October 4, 2026, general elections. Branko Blanuša of the SDS serves as the primary opposition challenger but trails amid a fragmented field that includes multiple candidates for vice-presidential roles. Lower-probability outcomes for figures such as Begija Smajić, Ćamil Duraković, and others reflect limited party infrastructure and voter bases, while the broader market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency and coalition coordination in the Serb-majority entity.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,954
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.izbori.ba/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Republika Srpska presidential race due to his nomination as the candidate of the ruling SNSD-led coalition, which secured unified backing from coalition partners in June 2026. As incumbent prime minister since September 2025, Minić benefits from the party's established organizational strength and performance patterns in prior entity-level contests ahead of the October 4, 2026, general elections. Branko Blanuša of the SDS serves as the primary opposition challenger but trails amid a fragmented field that includes multiple candidates for vice-presidential roles. Lower-probability outcomes for figures such as Begija Smajić, Ćamil Duraković, and others reflect limited party infrastructure and voter bases, while the broader market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency and coalition coordination in the Serb-majority entity.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,954
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.izbori.ba/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Relacionado

icon for ¿Será Bakir Izetbegović el miembro bosniaco de la Presidencia de Bosnia y Herzegovina tras las elecciones generales de 2026?

¿Será Bakir Izetbegović el miembro bosniaco de la Presidencia de Bosnia y Herzegovina tras las elecciones generales de 2026?

53%
Sí
icon for ¿Será Darijana Filipović la miembro croata de la Presidencia de Bosnia y Herzegovina tras las elecciones generales de 2026?

¿Será Darijana Filipović la miembro croata de la Presidencia de Bosnia y Herzegovina tras las elecciones generales de 2026?

70%
Sí
icon for Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

87%

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Savo Minić" con 60%, seguido de "Branko Blanuša" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 60¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 24, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska" es "Savo Minić" con 60%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Branko Blanuša" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.