Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned this week amid House Ethics Committee investigations into misconduct allegations, averting potential expulsion votes and fulfilling half the market condition ahead of schedule. Trader consensus now centers on whether Reps. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL) and Cory Mills (R-FL) will also exit by May 31, with both denying wrongdoing and facing bipartisan calls for resignation or removal. Recent Ethics findings against Cherfilus-McCormick for financial violations, including alleged misuse of funds, have intensified pressure, but expulsion requires a two-thirds House supermajority (290 votes), a high procedural bar amid slim margins and political risks. Possible floor votes this week represent the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
NUEVO
$16,435 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,435 Vol.
31 may 2026
Sí
NUEVO
$16,435 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,435 Vol.
31 may 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned this week amid House Ethics Committee investigations into misconduct allegations, averting potential expulsion votes and fulfilling half the market condition ahead of schedule. Trader consensus now centers on whether Reps. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL) and Cory Mills (R-FL) will also exit by May 31, with both denying wrongdoing and facing bipartisan calls for resignation or removal. Recent Ethics findings against Cherfilus-McCormick for financial violations, including alleged misuse of funds, have intensified pressure, but expulsion requires a two-thirds House supermajority (290 votes), a high procedural bar amid slim margins and political risks. Possible floor votes this week represent the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
Volumen
$16,435Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned this week amid House Ethics Committee investigations into misconduct allegations, averting potential expulsion votes and fulfilling half the market condition ahead of schedule. Trader consensus now centers on whether Reps. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL) and Cory Mills (R-FL) will also exit by May 31, with both denying wrongdoing and facing bipartisan calls for resignation or removal. Recent Ethics findings against Cherfilus-McCormick for financial violations, including alleged misuse of funds, have intensified pressure, but expulsion requires a two-thirds House supermajority (290 votes), a high procedural bar amid slim margins and political risks. Possible floor votes this week represent the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$16,435Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned this week amid House Ethics Committee investigations into misconduct allegations, averting potential expulsion votes and fulfilling half the market condition ahead of schedule. Trader consensus now centers on whether Reps. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL) and Cory Mills (R-FL) will also exit by May 31, with both denying wrongdoing and facing bipartisan calls for resignation or removal. Recent Ethics findings against Cherfilus-McCormick for financial violations, including alleged misuse of funds, have intensified pressure, but expulsion requires a two-thirds House supermajority (290 votes), a high procedural bar amid slim margins and political risks. Possible floor votes this week represent the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes