President Trump's Operation Epic Fury has transitioned from major airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites like Fordo, Isfahan, and Natanz to an ongoing naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, now over a week into a fragile two-week ceasefire. Trump signaled in early April that U.S. military operations could wrap up in two to three weeks without a formal deal, reflecting trader consensus on an imminent announcement amid de-escalation signals. However, today's Pentagon briefing by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth warned of swift resumption of combat if Iran fails to negotiate via Vice President Vance's team, prioritizing denial of nuclear weapons capability. U.S. troop deployments and mutual threats heighten risks, with ceasefire deadlines and diplomatic talks as key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump anuncia el fin de las operaciones militares contra Irán para...?
¿Trump anuncia el fin de las operaciones militares contra Irán para...?
$26,862,719 Vol.
21 abr 2026
21 de abril
13%
30 de abril
29%
31 de mayo
71%
30 de junio
81%
$26,862,719 Vol.
21 de abril
$1,249,509 Vol.
13%
30 de abril
$5,311,078 Vol.
29%
31 de mayo
$363,992 Vol.
71%
30 de junio
$1,942,665 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's Operation Epic Fury has transitioned from major airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites like Fordo, Isfahan, and Natanz to an ongoing naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, now over a week into a fragile two-week ceasefire. Trump signaled in early April that U.S. military operations could wrap up in two to three weeks without a formal deal, reflecting trader consensus on an imminent announcement amid de-escalation signals. However, today's Pentagon briefing by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth warned of swift resumption of combat if Iran fails to negotiate via Vice President Vance's team, prioritizing denial of nuclear weapons capability. U.S. troop deployments and mutual threats heighten risks, with ceasefire deadlines and diplomatic talks as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
Volumen
$26,862,719Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 10:55 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's Operation Epic Fury has transitioned from major airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites like Fordo, Isfahan, and Natanz to an ongoing naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, now over a week into a fragile two-week ceasefire. Trump signaled in early April that U.S. military operations could wrap up in two to three weeks without a formal deal, reflecting trader consensus on an imminent announcement amid de-escalation signals. However, today's Pentagon briefing by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth warned of swift resumption of combat if Iran fails to negotiate via Vice President Vance's team, prioritizing denial of nuclear weapons capability. U.S. troop deployments and mutual threats heighten risks, with ceasefire deadlines and diplomatic talks as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$26,862,719Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 10:55 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's Operation Epic Fury has transitioned from major airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites like Fordo, Isfahan, and Natanz to an ongoing naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, now over a week into a fragile two-week ceasefire. Trump signaled in early April that U.S. military operations could wrap up in two to three weeks without a formal deal, reflecting trader consensus on an imminent announcement amid de-escalation signals. However, today's Pentagon briefing by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth warned of swift resumption of combat if Iran fails to negotiate via Vice President Vance's team, prioritizing denial of nuclear weapons capability. U.S. troop deployments and mutual threats heighten risks, with ceasefire deadlines and diplomatic talks as key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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