Trader consensus heavily favors no full elimination of the Department of Education before 2027, reflecting the statutory requirement for congressional legislation to abolish a cabinet department, which remains stalled despite Republican House control. President Trump's March 2025 executive order directed Secretary Linda McMahon to downsize operations by shifting over 100 programs via interagency agreements to agencies like Treasury, alongside 50% staff reductions reported in early April 2026, but core functions like civil rights enforcement and special education oversight persist. Congress fully funded the department in February 2026 appropriations and Democrats vow to block Trump's latest FY2027 budget cuts totaling $8.5 billion, with no advancement on bills like H.R.899 to terminate by December 2026. Late-breaking bipartisan support or reconciliation maneuvers could shift odds, though historical precedent shows low success rates for such structural reforms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no full elimination of the Department of Education before 2027, reflecting the statutory requirement for congressional legislation to abolish a cabinet department, which remains stalled despite Republican House control. President Trump's March 2025 executive order directed Secretary Linda McMahon to downsize operations by shifting over 100 programs via interagency agreements to agencies like Treasury, alongside 50% staff reductions reported in early April 2026, but core functions like civil rights enforcement and special education oversight persist. Congress fully funded the department in February 2026 appropriations and Democrats vow to block Trump's latest FY2027 budget cuts totaling $8.5 billion, with no advancement on bills like H.R.899 to terminate by December 2026. Late-breaking bipartisan support or reconciliation maneuvers could shift odds, though historical precedent shows low success rates for such structural reforms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ET
Volumen
$9,423Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no full elimination of the Department of Education before 2027, reflecting the statutory requirement for congressional legislation to abolish a cabinet department, which remains stalled despite Republican House control. President Trump's March 2025 executive order directed Secretary Linda McMahon to downsize operations by shifting over 100 programs via interagency agreements to agencies like Treasury, alongside 50% staff reductions reported in early April 2026, but core functions like civil rights enforcement and special education oversight persist. Congress fully funded the department in February 2026 appropriations and Democrats vow to block Trump's latest FY2027 budget cuts totaling $8.5 billion, with no advancement on bills like H.R.899 to terminate by December 2026. Late-breaking bipartisan support or reconciliation maneuvers could shift odds, though historical precedent shows low success rates for such structural reforms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$9,423Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no full elimination of the Department of Education before 2027, reflecting the statutory requirement for congressional legislation to abolish a cabinet department, which remains stalled despite Republican House control. President Trump's March 2025 executive order directed Secretary Linda McMahon to downsize operations by shifting over 100 programs via interagency agreements to agencies like Treasury, alongside 50% staff reductions reported in early April 2026, but core functions like civil rights enforcement and special education oversight persist. Congress fully funded the department in February 2026 appropriations and Democrats vow to block Trump's latest FY2027 budget cuts totaling $8.5 billion, with no advancement on bills like H.R.899 to terminate by December 2026. Late-breaking bipartisan support or reconciliation maneuvers could shift odds, though historical precedent shows low success rates for such structural reforms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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