As President in 2026, Donald Trump’s January 13 middle-finger gesture at a Ford plant heckler—who shouted an insult tied to Jeffrey Epstein allegations—drew White House defense as an “appropriate” response but triggered widespread coverage. No comparable verified incidents have occurred in the subsequent six-plus months amid tightly controlled public events and security protocols. Traders assign the “No” outcome 86.5% implied probability, viewing the episode as an isolated reaction unlikely to repeat before year-end given institutional constraints, scheduling patterns, and absence of fresh catalysts that would prompt similar spontaneous conduct.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$57,722 Vol.
$57,722 Vol.
Sí
$57,722 Vol.
$57,722 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.
Mercado abierto: Jan 13, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As President in 2026, Donald Trump’s January 13 middle-finger gesture at a Ford plant heckler—who shouted an insult tied to Jeffrey Epstein allegations—drew White House defense as an “appropriate” response but triggered widespread coverage. No comparable verified incidents have occurred in the subsequent six-plus months amid tightly controlled public events and security protocols. Traders assign the “No” outcome 86.5% implied probability, viewing the episode as an isolated reaction unlikely to repeat before year-end given institutional constraints, scheduling patterns, and absence of fresh catalysts that would prompt similar spontaneous conduct.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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