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icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

ChatGPT 100.0%

Claude by Anthropic <1%

Threads <1%

Instants, an Instagram app <1%

Polymarket

$16,089 Vol.

ChatGPT 100.0%

Claude by Anthropic <1%

Threads <1%

Instants, an Instagram app <1%

Polymarket

$16,089 Vol.

icon for Threads

Threads

$396 Vol.

No

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$5,521 Vol.

Yes

icon for Instants, an Instagram app

Instants, an Instagram app

$216 Vol.

No

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$376 Vol.

No

icon for Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$400 Vol.

No

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$4,637 Vol.

No

icon for Google

Google

$4,159 Vol.

No

icon for CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

$385 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT’s sustained dominance at the top of US free App Store rankings stems from its role as the leading AI chatbot built on OpenAI’s large language models, delivering consistent daily engagement through features like advanced image generation, memory capabilities, and seamless cross-device syncing. Recent model iterations have reinforced its utility for productivity, education, and creative tasks, fueling download velocity and retention that outpace competitors. With no major rival launches, viral campaigns, or algorithm shifts expected on June 5, trader consensus at near-certain odds reflects this entrenched pattern. A surprise regulatory action, sudden competitor feature drop, or Apple ranking tweak could still introduce volatility in the final hours.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$16,089
End Date
Jun 5, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 9:53 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT’s sustained dominance at the top of US free App Store rankings stems from its role as the leading AI chatbot built on OpenAI’s large language models, delivering consistent daily engagement through features like advanced image generation, memory capabilities, and seamless cross-device syncing. Recent model iterations have reinforced its utility for productivity, education, and creative tasks, fueling download velocity and retention that outpace competitors. With no major rival launches, viral campaigns, or algorithm shifts expected on June 5, trader consensus at near-certain odds reflects this entrenched pattern. A surprise regulatory action, sudden competitor feature drop, or Apple ranking tweak could still introduce volatility in the final hours.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$16,089
End Date
Jun 5, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 9:53 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 100%, followed by "Threads" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?" has generated $16.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?" is "ChatGPT" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Threads" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.