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Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

Market icon

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

11% chance
Polymarket
NEW
11% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's MacBook Neo, the $599 entry-level laptop powered by the A18 Pro chip from recent iPhones, continues to dominate trader sentiment with an 89.5% implied probability it remains available through 2026, fueled by explosive post-launch demand that exceeded expectations. Unveiled in early March 2026, the 13-inch model with Liquid Retina display and all-day battery has sold out rapidly, prompting Apple to ramp up production amid supply chain strains from repurposed A18 Pro stocks. Recent reports confirm plans for a successor featuring an A19 Pro chip and doubled RAM in 2027, signaling long-term commitment over discontinuation. Key catalysts include education market traction and positive reviews benchmarking it against budget Windows rivals, though chip shortages pose minor risks to availability. Traders eye upcoming earnings for sales updates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$283
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's MacBook Neo, the $599 entry-level laptop powered by the A18 Pro chip from recent iPhones, continues to dominate trader sentiment with an 89.5% implied probability it remains available through 2026, fueled by explosive post-launch demand that exceeded expectations. Unveiled in early March 2026, the 13-inch model with Liquid Retina display and all-day battery has sold out rapidly, prompting Apple to ramp up production amid supply chain strains from repurposed A18 Pro stocks. Recent reports confirm plans for a successor featuring an A19 Pro chip and doubled RAM in 2027, signaling long-term commitment over discontinuation. Key catalysts include education market traction and positive reviews benchmarking it against budget Windows rivals, though chip shortages pose minor risks to availability. Traders eye upcoming earnings for sales updates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$283
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 11% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 11¢, the market collectively assigns a 11% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?" is 11% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 11% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.