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#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

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#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

Apr 17

Apr 17

Claude by Anthropic 91%

ChatGPT 21%

Netflix Game Controller 20%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses 19%

Polymarket
NEW

Claude by Anthropic 91%

ChatGPT 21%

Netflix Game Controller 20%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses 19%

Polymarket
NEW
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Claude by Anthropic

$221 Vol.

82%

Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

ChatGPT

$8 Vol.

21%

Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Netflix Game Controller

$267 Vol.

20%

Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$267 Vol.

19%

Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Google Gemini

$278 Vol.

18%

Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return

$523 Vol.

3%

Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Google

$700 Vol.

<1%

Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

$419 Vol.

<1%

Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Threads

$457 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus heavily favors Claude by Anthropic at 82% implied probability to claim the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, driven by TurboTax's sharp post-tax-season decline after the April 15 deadline eroded its prior #2-3 positioning. Currently ranking #2 or #3 behind stable leader ChatGPT, Claude benefits from Anthropic's February 2026 Opus 4.6 model topping AI benchmarks, fueling sustained iOS downloads amid fierce large language model competition. Challengers like Google Gemini (19%), Meta AI (20%), and ChatGPT (20.5%) show momentum but lack Claude's recent surge, with Netflix Game Controller (20%) buoyed by gaming trends; resolution hinges on final 24-hour download shifts.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$3,140
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus heavily favors Claude by Anthropic at 82% implied probability to claim the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, driven by TurboTax's sharp post-tax-season decline after the April 15 deadline eroded its prior #2-3 positioning. Currently ranking #2 or #3 behind stable leader ChatGPT, Claude benefits from Anthropic's February 2026 Opus 4.6 model topping AI benchmarks, fueling sustained iOS downloads amid fierce large language model competition. Challengers like Google Gemini (19%), Meta AI (20%), and ChatGPT (20.5%) show momentum but lack Claude's recent surge, with Netflix Game Controller (20%) buoyed by gaming trends; resolution hinges on final 24-hour download shifts.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$3,140
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claude by Anthropic" at 82%, followed by "ChatGPT" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?" is "Claude by Anthropic" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ChatGPT" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.