Claude by Anthropic holds overwhelming market-implied odds for the number-two free spot on the U.S. App Store today thanks to its sustained download momentum built through 2026. The app climbed rapidly after a high-profile Pentagon dispute earlier in the year that generated widespread publicity and record sign-ups, pushing it into consistent top rankings alongside rivals like ChatGPT. Ongoing AI model refinements, aggressive marketing, and strong user ratings in the productivity category have kept Claude ahead of competitors on daily charts. With the resolution window closing on May 29, traders see little room for a shift unless a sudden viral campaign or major competitor update triggers an unexpected surge in another title.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedClaude by Anthropic 100.0%
ChatGPT <1%
Google Gemini <1%
Google <1%
$9,362 Vol.
$9,362 Vol.

ChatGPT
No

Google Gemini
No

Claude by Anthropic
Yes

No

Instants, an Instagram app
No

Threads
No

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor
No

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
No
Claude by Anthropic 100.0%
ChatGPT <1%
Google Gemini <1%
Google <1%
$9,362 Vol.
$9,362 Vol.

ChatGPT
No

Google Gemini
No

Claude by Anthropic
Yes

No

Instants, an Instagram app
No

Threads
No

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor
No

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
No
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Claude by Anthropic holds overwhelming market-implied odds for the number-two free spot on the U.S. App Store today thanks to its sustained download momentum built through 2026. The app climbed rapidly after a high-profile Pentagon dispute earlier in the year that generated widespread publicity and record sign-ups, pushing it into consistent top rankings alongside rivals like ChatGPT. Ongoing AI model refinements, aggressive marketing, and strong user ratings in the productivity category have kept Claude ahead of competitors on daily charts. With the resolution window closing on May 29, traders see little room for a shift unless a sudden viral campaign or major competitor update triggers an unexpected surge in another title.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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