Skip to main content
icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?

Claude by Anthropic 100.0%

ChatGPT <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket

$9,362 Vol.

Claude by Anthropic 100.0%

ChatGPT <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket

$9,362 Vol.

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$2,639 Vol.

No

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$1,243 Vol.

No

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$2,240 Vol.

Yes

icon for Google

Google

$367 Vol.

No

icon for Instants, an Instagram app

Instants, an Instagram app

$392 Vol.

No

icon for Threads

Threads

$905 Vol.

No

icon for CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

$615 Vol.

No

icon for Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$961 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Claude by Anthropic holds overwhelming market-implied odds for the number-two free spot on the U.S. App Store today thanks to its sustained download momentum built through 2026. The app climbed rapidly after a high-profile Pentagon dispute earlier in the year that generated widespread publicity and record sign-ups, pushing it into consistent top rankings alongside rivals like ChatGPT. Ongoing AI model refinements, aggressive marketing, and strong user ratings in the productivity category have kept Claude ahead of competitors on daily charts. With the resolution window closing on May 29, traders see little room for a shift unless a sudden viral campaign or major competitor update triggers an unexpected surge in another title.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$9,362
End Date
May 29, 2026
Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Claude by Anthropic holds overwhelming market-implied odds for the number-two free spot on the U.S. App Store today thanks to its sustained download momentum built through 2026. The app climbed rapidly after a high-profile Pentagon dispute earlier in the year that generated widespread publicity and record sign-ups, pushing it into consistent top rankings alongside rivals like ChatGPT. Ongoing AI model refinements, aggressive marketing, and strong user ratings in the productivity category have kept Claude ahead of competitors on daily charts. With the resolution window closing on May 29, traders see little room for a shift unless a sudden viral campaign or major competitor update triggers an unexpected surge in another title.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$9,362
End Date
May 29, 2026
Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claude by Anthropic" at 100%, followed by "ChatGPT" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?" is "Claude by Anthropic" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ChatGPT" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.