United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Amur Oblast Legislative Assembly election market due to its sweep of all 18 single-mandate districts and roughly 60% support in the proportional party-list vote during the September 18–20 voting period. This outcome aligns with the party's national performance in concurrent federal elections and reflects its structural advantages in candidate registration, district organization, and regional governance continuity. Other parties, including the CPRF and LDPR, trail significantly in both vote shares and seat projections. Trader consensus at 99% for United Russia as the party winner accounts for the decisive margins already reported, though final certification or any procedural disputes in the remaining counts could theoretically alter the seat tally before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUnited Russia 99.0%
LDPR <1%
CPRF <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2027
United Russia
99%
LDPR
1%
CPRF
<1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
New People
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 99.0%
LDPR <1%
CPRF <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2027
United Russia
$3,216 Vol.
99%
LDPR
$885 Vol.
1%
CPRF
$921 Vol.
<1%
Communists of Russia
$601 Vol.
<1%
New People
$686 Vol.
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$713 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$728 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Amur Oblast Legislative Assembly election market due to its sweep of all 18 single-mandate districts and roughly 60% support in the proportional party-list vote during the September 18–20 voting period. This outcome aligns with the party's national performance in concurrent federal elections and reflects its structural advantages in candidate registration, district organization, and regional governance continuity. Other parties, including the CPRF and LDPR, trail significantly in both vote shares and seat projections. Trader consensus at 99% for United Russia as the party winner accounts for the decisive margins already reported, though final certification or any procedural disputes in the remaining counts could theoretically alter the seat tally before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Volume
$7,749End Date
Aug 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Amur Oblast Legislative Assembly election market due to its sweep of all 18 single-mandate districts and roughly 60% support in the proportional party-list vote during the September 18–20 voting period. This outcome aligns with the party's national performance in concurrent federal elections and reflects its structural advantages in candidate registration, district organization, and regional governance continuity. Other parties, including the CPRF and LDPR, trail significantly in both vote shares and seat projections. Trader consensus at 99% for United Russia as the party winner accounts for the decisive margins already reported, though final certification or any procedural disputes in the remaining counts could theoretically alter the seat tally before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$7,749End Date
Aug 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Amur Oblast Legislative Assembly election market due to its sweep of all 18 single-mandate districts and roughly 60% support in the proportional party-list vote during the September 18–20 voting period. This outcome aligns with the party's national performance in concurrent federal elections and reflects its structural advantages in candidate registration, district organization, and regional governance continuity. Other parties, including the CPRF and LDPR, trail significantly in both vote shares and seat projections. Trader consensus at 99% for United Russia as the party winner accounts for the decisive margins already reported, though final certification or any procedural disputes in the remaining counts could theoretically alter the seat tally before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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