United Russia holds a commanding position in the Vologda Oblast Legislative Assembly election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its consistent performance in the region’s mixed electoral system of proportional lists and single-mandate districts. The party secured 24 of 34 seats in 2021 through strong constituency wins despite a 35.65% list share, and it has fielded full slates of candidates while maintaining organizational advantages tied to regional governance and federal alignment. Other parties, including CPRF, LDPR, and smaller groups, face structural barriers that limit their ability to challenge this outcome. Trader consensus assigns minimal probability to alternatives, consistent with historical patterns in Russian regional contests where the ruling party consolidates majorities via district-level results. Late shifts remain possible only through unforeseen turnout anomalies or administrative changes before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUnited Russia 95.4%
CPRF 3.5%
LDPR <1%
New People <1%
$13,471 Vol.
$13,471 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
95%
CPRF
3%
LDPR
1%
New People
1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 95.4%
CPRF 3.5%
LDPR <1%
New People <1%
$13,471 Vol.
$13,471 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
$7,052 Vol.
95%
CPRF
$1,533 Vol.
3%
LDPR
$967 Vol.
1%
New People
$1,182 Vol.
1%
Communists of Russia
$963 Vol.
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$829 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$945 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Vologda Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Vologda Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Vologda Oblast Legislative Assembly election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its consistent performance in the region’s mixed electoral system of proportional lists and single-mandate districts. The party secured 24 of 34 seats in 2021 through strong constituency wins despite a 35.65% list share, and it has fielded full slates of candidates while maintaining organizational advantages tied to regional governance and federal alignment. Other parties, including CPRF, LDPR, and smaller groups, face structural barriers that limit their ability to challenge this outcome. Trader consensus assigns minimal probability to alternatives, consistent with historical patterns in Russian regional contests where the ruling party consolidates majorities via district-level results. Late shifts remain possible only through unforeseen turnout anomalies or administrative changes before polls close.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Vologda Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Vologda Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Vologda Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Vologda Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
Volume
$13,471End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Vologda Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Vologda Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Vologda Oblast Legislative Assembly election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its consistent performance in the region’s mixed electoral system of proportional lists and single-mandate districts. The party secured 24 of 34 seats in 2021 through strong constituency wins despite a 35.65% list share, and it has fielded full slates of candidates while maintaining organizational advantages tied to regional governance and federal alignment. Other parties, including CPRF, LDPR, and smaller groups, face structural barriers that limit their ability to challenge this outcome. Trader consensus assigns minimal probability to alternatives, consistent with historical patterns in Russian regional contests where the ruling party consolidates majorities via district-level results. Late shifts remain possible only through unforeseen turnout anomalies or administrative changes before polls close.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Vologda Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Vologda Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Vologda Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Vologda Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$13,471End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding position in the Vologda Oblast Legislative Assembly election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its consistent performance in the region’s mixed electoral system of proportional lists and single-mandate districts. The party secured 24 of 34 seats in 2021 through strong constituency wins despite a 35.65% list share, and it has fielded full slates of candidates while maintaining organizational advantages tied to regional governance and federal alignment. Other parties, including CPRF, LDPR, and smaller groups, face structural barriers that limit their ability to challenge this outcome. Trader consensus assigns minimal probability to alternatives, consistent with historical patterns in Russian regional contests where the ruling party consolidates majorities via district-level results. Late shifts remain possible only through unforeseen turnout anomalies or administrative changes before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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