The fragmented field for Campeche's 2027 gubernatorial election keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered, with Yolanda Valladares Valle at 33.5% and the next tier of contenders between 19% and 28%. Early-stage party nomination processes, particularly within Morena and opposition alliances, have yet to consolidate support behind frontrunners, while citizen surveys show divided preferences across multiple aspirants. Traders price in uncertainty over internal primaries, potential coalition deals, and turnout patterns in key municipalities. Upcoming nomination deadlines, candidate debates, or fresh polling that highlights a clear leader could quickly widen spreads by concentrating probability on fewer names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKarla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora 37%
Daniel Barreda Pavón 31%
Yolanda Valladares Valle 28%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre 26%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2027
Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora
28%
Daniel Barreda Pavón
25%
Yolanda Valladares Valle
28%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre
26%
Dulce Dorantes Cervera
26%
Liz Hernández Romero
25%
Armando Toledo Jamit
25%
Ariana Rejón Lara
25%
Rosario Cruz Hernández
25%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega
22%
Carlos Ucán Yam
22%
Ricardo Medina Farfán
26%
Laura Baqueiro Ramos
25%
Nelly Márquez Zapata
27%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar
26%
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus
24%
Martina Kantún Can
24%
Rocío Abreu Artiñano
24%
Christian Castro Bello
25%
Emilio Lara Calderón
24%
Francisco Farías Bailón
24%
Paul Arce Ontiveros
24%
Andrés Fernández del Valle
24%
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores
24%
Pablo Angulo Briceño
27%
Salvador Farías González
27%
Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora 37%
Daniel Barreda Pavón 31%
Yolanda Valladares Valle 28%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre 26%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2027
Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora
$70 Vol.
28%
Daniel Barreda Pavón
$70 Vol.
25%
Yolanda Valladares Valle
$65 Vol.
28%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre
$65 Vol.
26%
Dulce Dorantes Cervera
$65 Vol.
26%
Liz Hernández Romero
$65 Vol.
25%
Armando Toledo Jamit
$65 Vol.
25%
Ariana Rejón Lara
$65 Vol.
25%
Rosario Cruz Hernández
$65 Vol.
25%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega
$65 Vol.
22%
Carlos Ucán Yam
$65 Vol.
22%
Ricardo Medina Farfán
$65 Vol.
26%
Laura Baqueiro Ramos
$65 Vol.
25%
Nelly Márquez Zapata
$65 Vol.
27%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar
$65 Vol.
26%
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus
$65 Vol.
24%
Martina Kantún Can
$65 Vol.
24%
Rocío Abreu Artiñano
$65 Vol.
24%
Christian Castro Bello
$65 Vol.
25%
Emilio Lara Calderón
$65 Vol.
24%
Francisco Farías Bailón
$65 Vol.
24%
Paul Arce Ontiveros
$65 Vol.
24%
Andrés Fernández del Valle
$65 Vol.
24%
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores
$65 Vol.
24%
Pablo Angulo Briceño
$65 Vol.
27%
Salvador Farías González
$70 Vol.
27%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The fragmented field for Campeche's 2027 gubernatorial election keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered, with Yolanda Valladares Valle at 33.5% and the next tier of contenders between 19% and 28%. Early-stage party nomination processes, particularly within Morena and opposition alliances, have yet to consolidate support behind frontrunners, while citizen surveys show divided preferences across multiple aspirants. Traders price in uncertainty over internal primaries, potential coalition deals, and turnout patterns in key municipalities. Upcoming nomination deadlines, candidate debates, or fresh polling that highlights a clear leader could quickly widen spreads by concentrating probability on fewer names.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ET
Volume
$1,708End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The fragmented field for Campeche's 2027 gubernatorial election keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered, with Yolanda Valladares Valle at 33.5% and the next tier of contenders between 19% and 28%. Early-stage party nomination processes, particularly within Morena and opposition alliances, have yet to consolidate support behind frontrunners, while citizen surveys show divided preferences across multiple aspirants. Traders price in uncertainty over internal primaries, potential coalition deals, and turnout patterns in key municipalities. Upcoming nomination deadlines, candidate debates, or fresh polling that highlights a clear leader could quickly widen spreads by concentrating probability on fewer names.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,708End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field for Campeche's 2027 gubernatorial election keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered, with Yolanda Valladares Valle at 33.5% and the next tier of contenders between 19% and 28%. Early-stage party nomination processes, particularly within Morena and opposition alliances, have yet to consolidate support behind frontrunners, while citizen surveys show divided preferences across multiple aspirants. Traders price in uncertainty over internal primaries, potential coalition deals, and turnout patterns in key municipalities. Upcoming nomination deadlines, candidate debates, or fresh polling that highlights a clear leader could quickly widen spreads by concentrating probability on fewer names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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