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icon for Michoacán Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

icon for Michoacán Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

Carlos Torres Piña 62.7%

Grecia Quiroz 13.3%

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar 5.0%

Raúl Morón Orozco 4.0%

Polymarket

$57,822 Vol.

Carlos Torres Piña 62.7%

Grecia Quiroz 13.3%

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar 5.0%

Raúl Morón Orozco 4.0%

Polymarket

$57,822 Vol.

icon for Carlos Torres Piña

Carlos Torres Piña

$13,926 Vol.

63%

icon for Grecia Quiroz

Grecia Quiroz

$6,962 Vol.

13%

icon for Alfonso Martínez Alcázar

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar

$1,681 Vol.

5%

icon for Raúl Morón Orozco

Raúl Morón Orozco

$3,078 Vol.

4%

icon for Gladyz Butanda Macías

Gladyz Butanda Macías

$15,148 Vol.

3%

icon for Fabiola Alanís Sámano

Fabiola Alanís Sámano

$7,279 Vol.

1%

icon for Marko Cortés Mendoza

Marko Cortés Mendoza

$679 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Herrera Tello

Carlos Herrera Tello

$1,149 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gabriela Molina Aguilar

Gabriela Molina Aguilar

$475 Vol.

<1%

icon for Celeste Ascencio Ortega

Celeste Ascencio Ortega

$430 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz

Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz

$491 Vol.

<1%

icon for Esteban González Nava

Esteban González Nava

$517 Vol.

<1%

icon for Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza

Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza

$505 Vol.

<1%

icon for Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna

Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna

$562 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ernesto Núñez Aguilar

Ernesto Núñez Aguilar

$447 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germán Martínez Cázares

Germán Martínez Cázares

$924 Vol.

<1%

icon for Guillermo Valencia Reyes

Guillermo Valencia Reyes

$746 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniela de los Santos

Daniela de los Santos

$553 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adriana Hernández Íñiguez

Adriana Hernández Íñiguez

$534 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edna Martínez Nambo

Edna Martínez Nambo

$588 Vol.

<1%

icon for Víctor Manuel Manríquez

Víctor Manuel Manríquez

$506 Vol.

<1%

icon for Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes

Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes

$643 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Carlos Torres Piña leads the Michoacán gubernatorial market at 62.7% after Morena designated him state coordinator for the defense of the transformation on September 14, 2026, following an internal selection process that sidelined rivals including Raúl Morón Orozco. As former state attorney general and secretary of government under incumbent Alfredo Ramírez Bedolla, Torres Piña benefits from alignment with the current administration and strong polling leads in Morena preference surveys conducted earlier in 2026. Grecia Quiroz at 14% draws support as a potential independent or Movimiento Ciudadano figure tied to the high-profile assassination of her husband, the Uruapan mayor, while lower-priced names such as Alfonso Martínez Alcázar and Gladyz Butanda reflect limited traction outside their party bases ahead of the June 2027 vote. The pricing embeds Morena’s structural advantage in the state alongside uncertainty over opposition consolidation and independent candidacies.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$57,822
End Date
Jun 7, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Carlos Torres Piña leads the Michoacán gubernatorial market at 62.7% after Morena designated him state coordinator for the defense of the transformation on September 14, 2026, following an internal selection process that sidelined rivals including Raúl Morón Orozco. As former state attorney general and secretary of government under incumbent Alfredo Ramírez Bedolla, Torres Piña benefits from alignment with the current administration and strong polling leads in Morena preference surveys conducted earlier in 2026. Grecia Quiroz at 14% draws support as a potential independent or Movimiento Ciudadano figure tied to the high-profile assassination of her husband, the Uruapan mayor, while lower-priced names such as Alfonso Martínez Alcázar and Gladyz Butanda reflect limited traction outside their party bases ahead of the June 2027 vote. The pricing embeds Morena’s structural advantage in the state alongside uncertainty over opposition consolidation and independent candidacies.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$57,822
End Date
Jun 7, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michoacán Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Torres Piña" at 70%, followed by "Grecia Quiroz" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Michoacán Governor Election Winner" has generated $57.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Michoacán Governor Election Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michoacán Governor Election Winner" is "Carlos Torres Piña" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Grecia Quiroz" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michoacán Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.