Beatriz Mojica Morga holds an 80% implied probability in the Guerrero governor election market after Morena designated her as coordinator of the 4T in mid-September 2026 following internal surveys that placed her ahead of other aspirants including Esthela Damián Peralta and Abelina López Rodríguez. President Claudia Sheinbaum publicly endorsed the selection process and Mojica’s trajectory as a senator and longtime party member. A mid-September El Financiero poll showed Mojica at 44% preference in a hypothetical matchup against PRI’s Manuel Añorve Baños at 14%, with Morena as a party at 46%. Local party structures aligned behind her, and recent unity signals with figures such as Félix Salgado Macedonio have reinforced cohesion ahead of the 2027 vote. Opposition candidates remain at single-digit or lower shares in the market, reflecting limited near-term momentum outside the ruling coalition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeatriz Mojica Morga 80.5%
Manuel Añorve Baños 9.0%
Esthela Damián Peralta 3.6%
Mario Moreno Arcos 1.1%
$78,658 Vol.
$78,658 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
81%
Manuel Añorve Baños
9%
Esthela Damián Peralta
4%
Mario Moreno Arcos
1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
<1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
<1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 80.5%
Manuel Añorve Baños 9.0%
Esthela Damián Peralta 3.6%
Mario Moreno Arcos 1.1%
$78,658 Vol.
$78,658 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
81%
Manuel Añorve Baños
9%
Esthela Damián Peralta
4%
Mario Moreno Arcos
1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
<1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
<1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Beatriz Mojica Morga holds an 80% implied probability in the Guerrero governor election market after Morena designated her as coordinator of the 4T in mid-September 2026 following internal surveys that placed her ahead of other aspirants including Esthela Damián Peralta and Abelina López Rodríguez. President Claudia Sheinbaum publicly endorsed the selection process and Mojica’s trajectory as a senator and longtime party member. A mid-September El Financiero poll showed Mojica at 44% preference in a hypothetical matchup against PRI’s Manuel Añorve Baños at 14%, with Morena as a party at 46%. Local party structures aligned behind her, and recent unity signals with figures such as Félix Salgado Macedonio have reinforced cohesion ahead of the 2027 vote. Opposition candidates remain at single-digit or lower shares in the market, reflecting limited near-term momentum outside the ruling coalition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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