The Abbotsford-Mission by-election, called after Reann Gasper resigned on August 22 to allow BC Conservative Leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay to seek a seat, features a compressed four-week campaign ending September 26. Findlay was acclaimed as the Conservative nominee, but six MLAs have since left her caucus amid leadership tensions, creating uncertainty about party cohesion. NDP candidate Pam Alexis, a former local MLA and agriculture minister, emphasizes health care and housing, while CentreBC's Lakhwinder Jhaj offers a centrist option as the party's first ballot entry. With nominations closing September 5 and advance voting set for September 18-23, the fragmented field and recent defections sustain closely matched implied probabilities among leading contenders, as traders weigh local voter priorities against broader provincial dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKerry-Lynne Findlay 49%
Pam Alexis 38%
Lakhwinder Jhaj 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
49%
Pam Alexis
38%
Lakhwinder Jhaj
24%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 49%
Pam Alexis 38%
Lakhwinder Jhaj 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
$313 Vol.
49%
Pam Alexis
$0 Vol.
38%
Lakhwinder Jhaj
$23 Vol.
24%
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).The Abbotsford-Mission by-election, called after Reann Gasper resigned on August 22 to allow BC Conservative Leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay to seek a seat, features a compressed four-week campaign ending September 26. Findlay was acclaimed as the Conservative nominee, but six MLAs have since left her caucus amid leadership tensions, creating uncertainty about party cohesion. NDP candidate Pam Alexis, a former local MLA and agriculture minister, emphasizes health care and housing, while CentreBC's Lakhwinder Jhaj offers a centrist option as the party's first ballot entry. With nominations closing September 5 and advance voting set for September 18-23, the fragmented field and recent defections sustain closely matched implied probabilities among leading contenders, as traders weigh local voter priorities against broader provincial dynamics.
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Volume
$336End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://elections.bc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).The Abbotsford-Mission by-election, called after Reann Gasper resigned on August 22 to allow BC Conservative Leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay to seek a seat, features a compressed four-week campaign ending September 26. Findlay was acclaimed as the Conservative nominee, but six MLAs have since left her caucus amid leadership tensions, creating uncertainty about party cohesion. NDP candidate Pam Alexis, a former local MLA and agriculture minister, emphasizes health care and housing, while CentreBC's Lakhwinder Jhaj offers a centrist option as the party's first ballot entry. With nominations closing September 5 and advance voting set for September 18-23, the fragmented field and recent defections sustain closely matched implied probabilities among leading contenders, as traders weigh local voter priorities against broader provincial dynamics.
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$336End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://elections.bc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Abbotsford-Mission by-election, called after Reann Gasper resigned on August 22 to allow BC Conservative Leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay to seek a seat, features a compressed four-week campaign ending September 26. Findlay was acclaimed as the Conservative nominee, but six MLAs have since left her caucus amid leadership tensions, creating uncertainty about party cohesion. NDP candidate Pam Alexis, a former local MLA and agriculture minister, emphasizes health care and housing, while CentreBC's Lakhwinder Jhaj offers a centrist option as the party's first ballot entry. With nominations closing September 5 and advance voting set for September 18-23, the fragmented field and recent defections sustain closely matched implied probabilities among leading contenders, as traders weigh local voter priorities against broader provincial dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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