Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracy charges in the Southern District of New York, entered a not guilty plea at her January 5 arraignment, and has not sought bail amid standard flight-risk and national-security considerations for such cases. Subsequent status hearings, including one on March 26, have proceeded under routine federal timelines, with a joint trial date proposal emerging for mid-2027. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over diplomatic signals from Venezuela’s interim authorities, potential plea developments, or any negotiated releases, though no confirmed agreements or motions altering custody have materialized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
$1,375,071 Vol.
December 31
13%
$1,375,071 Vol.
December 31
13%
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracy charges in the Southern District of New York, entered a not guilty plea at her January 5 arraignment, and has not sought bail amid standard flight-risk and national-security considerations for such cases. Subsequent status hearings, including one on March 26, have proceeded under routine federal timelines, with a joint trial date proposal emerging for mid-2027. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over diplomatic signals from Venezuela’s interim authorities, potential plea developments, or any negotiated releases, though no confirmed agreements or motions altering custody have materialized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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