Trader consensus prices "No" at 95% for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting skepticism that all conditions—Elon Musk reaching $1 trillion net worth on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, announcing another child, and SpaceX achieving 9+ successful Starship orbital launches—will occur by year-end. Currently at $688 billion, Musk's fortune surged post the May 6 xAI dissolution into SpaceXAI, admitting prior AI build flaws despite Tesla's $2 billion investment, yet faces headwinds from Tesla's autonomy delays, volatile tech valuations, and SpaceX's Starship Flight 12 slips amid a modest 2026 test cadence so far. No new baby announcements since early-year revelations. Upside risks include Tesla robotaxi breakthroughs, SpaceX IPO hype, or rapid Starship successes, but execution hurdles sustain the strong "No" lean.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$10,235 Vol.
$10,235 Vol.
$10,235 Vol.
$10,235 Vol.
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95% for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting skepticism that all conditions—Elon Musk reaching $1 trillion net worth on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, announcing another child, and SpaceX achieving 9+ successful Starship orbital launches—will occur by year-end. Currently at $688 billion, Musk's fortune surged post the May 6 xAI dissolution into SpaceXAI, admitting prior AI build flaws despite Tesla's $2 billion investment, yet faces headwinds from Tesla's autonomy delays, volatile tech valuations, and SpaceX's Starship Flight 12 slips amid a modest 2026 test cadence so far. No new baby announcements since early-year revelations. Upside risks include Tesla robotaxi breakthroughs, SpaceX IPO hype, or rapid Starship successes, but execution hurdles sustain the strong "No" lean.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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