Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote following the death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The district, covering suburban Atlanta counties including Clayton, DeKalb, and Gwinnett, has consistently favored Democrats by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, leading forecasters to rate the seat Solid Democratic. Clark’s campaign has raised over $1 million, far outpacing Republican nominee Jonathan Chavez, an Air Force veteran who ran unopposed in his primary. Traders assign Clark a 97 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and her primary performance. A late scandal, health event, or turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in races with this structural advantage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGA-13 House Election Winner
GA-13 House Election Winner
$39,455 Vol.
$39,455 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jasmine Clark (D)
97%
Jonathan Chavez (R)
3%
$39,455 Vol.
$39,455 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jasmine Clark (D)
$19,979 Vol.
97%
Jonathan Chavez (R)
$19,477 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote following the death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The district, covering suburban Atlanta counties including Clayton, DeKalb, and Gwinnett, has consistently favored Democrats by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, leading forecasters to rate the seat Solid Democratic. Clark’s campaign has raised over $1 million, far outpacing Republican nominee Jonathan Chavez, an Air Force veteran who ran unopposed in his primary. Traders assign Clark a 97 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and her primary performance. A late scandal, health event, or turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in races with this structural advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$39,455End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote following the death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The district, covering suburban Atlanta counties including Clayton, DeKalb, and Gwinnett, has consistently favored Democrats by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, leading forecasters to rate the seat Solid Democratic. Clark’s campaign has raised over $1 million, far outpacing Republican nominee Jonathan Chavez, an Air Force veteran who ran unopposed in his primary. Traders assign Clark a 97 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and her primary performance. A late scandal, health event, or turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in races with this structural advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,455End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote following the death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The district, covering suburban Atlanta counties including Clayton, DeKalb, and Gwinnett, has consistently favored Democrats by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, leading forecasters to rate the seat Solid Democratic. Clark’s campaign has raised over $1 million, far outpacing Republican nominee Jonathan Chavez, an Air Force veteran who ran unopposed in his primary. Traders assign Clark a 97 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and her primary performance. A late scandal, health event, or turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in races with this structural advantage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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