Georgia's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters ahead of the July 28, 2026, special election to fill the vacancy created by incumbent David Scott's death in April. State Representative Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination outright in the May 19 primary, consolidating support in a district that has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican primary results produced a nominee with limited visibility or resources in the area. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% probability, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive dynamics. Late developments such as major scandals involving the Democratic nominee or unusually high Republican turnout could still shift the outcome before the special general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGA-13 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$23,892 Vol.
$23,892 Vol.
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
5%
$23,892 Vol.
$23,892 Vol.
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters ahead of the July 28, 2026, special election to fill the vacancy created by incumbent David Scott's death in April. State Representative Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination outright in the May 19 primary, consolidating support in a district that has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican primary results produced a nominee with limited visibility or resources in the area. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% probability, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive dynamics. Late developments such as major scandals involving the Democratic nominee or unusually high Republican turnout could still shift the outcome before the special general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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