Recent observational data from the official Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station confirm a daily maximum of 23°C on May 31, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Ensemble forecasts from European centers had converged on 22°C under moderate westerly flow and partly cloudy skies with light precipitation, placing the result near the upper end of late-May climatology (typically 18–20°C). This alignment with measured conditions, rather than model spread or unexpected warming, explains trader positioning. Minor revisions in station data or boundary definitions remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though such shifts are highly improbable given standard meteorological reporting protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 31?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$65,790 Vol.
$65,790 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$65,790 Vol.
$65,790 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent observational data from the official Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station confirm a daily maximum of 23°C on May 31, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Ensemble forecasts from European centers had converged on 22°C under moderate westerly flow and partly cloudy skies with light precipitation, placing the result near the upper end of late-May climatology (typically 18–20°C). This alignment with measured conditions, rather than model spread or unexpected warming, explains trader positioning. Minor revisions in station data or boundary definitions remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though such shifts are highly improbable given standard meteorological reporting protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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