Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–21°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 16, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service's (MGM) latest forecast of a 20°C maximum under partly cloudy skies, aligning with global model outputs from ECMWF and GFS showing peaks in the 19–21°C range. This positioning stems from a stable high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia promoting mild spring conditions with moderate insolation, though light southerly winds and variable cloud cover introduce 1–2°C uncertainty in peak daytime heating. Recent April 15 forecasts mirrored this mild pattern without disruptive fronts, while historical mid-April highs average 16–18°C, making the warmer outlook a trader focal point ahead of hourly observational updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 16?
20°C 31%
21°C 30%
19°C 27%
18°C 9%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
27%
20°C
31%
21°C
30%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 31%
21°C 30%
19°C 27%
18°C 9%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
27%
20°C
31%
21°C
30%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–21°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 16, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service's (MGM) latest forecast of a 20°C maximum under partly cloudy skies, aligning with global model outputs from ECMWF and GFS showing peaks in the 19–21°C range. This positioning stems from a stable high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia promoting mild spring conditions with moderate insolation, though light southerly winds and variable cloud cover introduce 1–2°C uncertainty in peak daytime heating. Recent April 15 forecasts mirrored this mild pattern without disruptive fronts, while historical mid-April highs average 16–18°C, making the warmer outlook a trader focal point ahead of hourly observational updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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