The near-certain market consensus on a 29°C high for Busan on June 16 stems from real-time observations and official Korean Meteorological Administration data confirming daytime maxima reached that threshold under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity typical of early summer marine influence. Coastal sea surface temperatures around 20–22°C and regional pressure patterns have supported gradual warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress readings, aligning with climatological baselines where mid-June highs in Busan average 24–27°C but can spike with clear subtropical air advection. Minor probabilities on adjacent bins reflect residual uncertainty in final hourly verification or station-specific microclimates. A sudden late-day sea breeze surge or measurement revision below 29°C remains the only realistic scenario that could alter resolution, though current model consensus and live station reports make this highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on June 16?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$42,146 Vol.
$42,146 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$42,146 Vol.
$42,146 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The near-certain market consensus on a 29°C high for Busan on June 16 stems from real-time observations and official Korean Meteorological Administration data confirming daytime maxima reached that threshold under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity typical of early summer marine influence. Coastal sea surface temperatures around 20–22°C and regional pressure patterns have supported gradual warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress readings, aligning with climatological baselines where mid-June highs in Busan average 24–27°C but can spike with clear subtropical air advection. Minor probabilities on adjacent bins reflect residual uncertainty in final hourly verification or station-specific microclimates. A sudden late-day sea breeze surge or measurement revision below 29°C remains the only realistic scenario that could alter resolution, though current model consensus and live station reports make this highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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