Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport station— the official resolution source for this market—confirm Busan's highest temperature reached 22°C midday on May 6 under clear skies and light southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This mild peak aligns with short-range KMA model consensus projecting 21–27°C highs but tempered by typical early May climatology, where Busan averages 20–23°C amid continental high-pressure influence and sea-breeze moderation. Evening readings have dipped to 20–21°C with falling solar insolation, minimizing further warming. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision uncovering a missed higher peak, though such discrepancies are rare post-midday; traders await the final daily KMA report for closure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on May 6?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 6?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$65,438 Vol.
$65,438 Vol.
May 6, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$65,438 Vol.
$65,438 Vol.
May 6, 2026
15°C or below
$7,602 Vol.
No
16°C
$962 Vol.
No
17°C
$496 Vol.
No
18°C
$553 Vol.
No
19°C
$906 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,101 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,505 Vol.
No
22°C
$8,399 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$17,747 Vol.
No
24°C
$16,705 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$4,463 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport station— the official resolution source for this market—confirm Busan's highest temperature reached 22°C midday on May 6 under clear skies and light southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This mild peak aligns with short-range KMA model consensus projecting 21–27°C highs but tempered by typical early May climatology, where Busan averages 20–23°C amid continental high-pressure influence and sea-breeze moderation. Evening readings have dipped to 20–21°C with falling solar insolation, minimizing further warming. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision uncovering a missed higher peak, though such discrepancies are rare post-midday; traders await the final daily KMA report for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$65,438End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport station— the official resolution source for this market—confirm Busan's highest temperature reached 22°C midday on May 6 under clear skies and light southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This mild peak aligns with short-range KMA model consensus projecting 21–27°C highs but tempered by typical early May climatology, where Busan averages 20–23°C amid continental high-pressure influence and sea-breeze moderation. Evening readings have dipped to 20–21°C with falling solar insolation, minimizing further warming. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision uncovering a missed higher peak, though such discrepancies are rare post-midday; traders await the final daily KMA report for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$65,438End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport station— the official resolution source for this market—confirm Busan's highest temperature reached 22°C midday on May 6 under clear skies and light southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This mild peak aligns with short-range KMA model consensus projecting 21–27°C highs but tempered by typical early May climatology, where Busan averages 20–23°C amid continental high-pressure influence and sea-breeze moderation. Evening readings have dipped to 20–21°C with falling solar insolation, minimizing further warming. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision uncovering a missed higher peak, though such discrepancies are rare post-midday; traders await the final daily KMA report for closure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions