Official meteorological observations from South African weather stations recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C in Cape Town on May 23, driving the near-certain market consensus. This aligns with typical late-autumn conditions in the region, where May averages hover around 18–20°C under the influence of the Benguela Current and prevailing westerly winds that moderate daytime highs. Model guidance and real-time station data showed no significant warming anomalies or heat advection from the interior. While post-event data revisions or differences between official stations remain theoretically possible, historical consistency in reporting makes such shifts extremely rare once preliminary maxima are confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 23?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 23?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$29,134 Vol.
$29,134 Vol.
May 23, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$29,134 Vol.
$29,134 Vol.
May 23, 2026
15°C or below
$687 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,925 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,768 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,300 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,482 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,341 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,432 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$2,460 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,884 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,128 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$726 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from South African weather stations recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C in Cape Town on May 23, driving the near-certain market consensus. This aligns with typical late-autumn conditions in the region, where May averages hover around 18–20°C under the influence of the Benguela Current and prevailing westerly winds that moderate daytime highs. Model guidance and real-time station data showed no significant warming anomalies or heat advection from the interior. While post-event data revisions or differences between official stations remain theoretically possible, historical consistency in reporting makes such shifts extremely rare once preliminary maxima are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Volume
$29,134End Date
May 23, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 6:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from South African weather stations recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C in Cape Town on May 23, driving the near-certain market consensus. This aligns with typical late-autumn conditions in the region, where May averages hover around 18–20°C under the influence of the Benguela Current and prevailing westerly winds that moderate daytime highs. Model guidance and real-time station data showed no significant warming anomalies or heat advection from the interior. While post-event data revisions or differences between official stations remain theoretically possible, historical consistency in reporting makes such shifts extremely rare once preliminary maxima are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,134End Date
May 23, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 6:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from South African weather stations recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C in Cape Town on May 23, driving the near-certain market consensus. This aligns with typical late-autumn conditions in the region, where May averages hover around 18–20°C under the influence of the Benguela Current and prevailing westerly winds that moderate daytime highs. Model guidance and real-time station data showed no significant warming anomalies or heat advection from the interior. While post-event data revisions or differences between official stations remain theoretically possible, historical consistency in reporting makes such shifts extremely rare once preliminary maxima are confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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