Current forecasts from models and agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration center on daytime maxima of 36–38°C in Chengdu on August 13 amid persistent high pressure and a humid subtropical air mass over the Sichuan Basin. Clear to partly cloudy conditions are expected to support strong solar heating, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms could cap extremes through increased cloud cover and brief cooling. This aligns with late-summer climatology where seasonal averages near 32–34°C are often exceeded when steering patterns favor subsidence. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 37°C and 38°C outcomes tracks these guidance trends, with resolution hinging on official observed peak readings; updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 13?
37°C 37%
38°C 25%
36°C 21%
35°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C
10%
36°C
21%
37°C
37%
38°C
25%
39°C
9%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 37%
38°C 25%
36°C 21%
35°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
$15 Vol.
1%
33°C
$5 Vol.
4%
34°C
$216 Vol.
3%
35°C
$2 Vol.
10%
36°C
$32 Vol.
21%
37°C
$60 Vol.
37%
38°C
$100 Vol.
25%
39°C
$13 Vol.
9%
40°C
$77 Vol.
4%
41°C
$5 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$17 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models and agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration center on daytime maxima of 36–38°C in Chengdu on August 13 amid persistent high pressure and a humid subtropical air mass over the Sichuan Basin. Clear to partly cloudy conditions are expected to support strong solar heating, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms could cap extremes through increased cloud cover and brief cooling. This aligns with late-summer climatology where seasonal averages near 32–34°C are often exceeded when steering patterns favor subsidence. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 37°C and 38°C outcomes tracks these guidance trends, with resolution hinging on official observed peak readings; updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$543End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models and agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration center on daytime maxima of 36–38°C in Chengdu on August 13 amid persistent high pressure and a humid subtropical air mass over the Sichuan Basin. Clear to partly cloudy conditions are expected to support strong solar heating, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms could cap extremes through increased cloud cover and brief cooling. This aligns with late-summer climatology where seasonal averages near 32–34°C are often exceeded when steering patterns favor subsidence. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 37°C and 38°C outcomes tracks these guidance trends, with resolution hinging on official observed peak readings; updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$543End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models and agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration center on daytime maxima of 36–38°C in Chengdu on August 13 amid persistent high pressure and a humid subtropical air mass over the Sichuan Basin. Clear to partly cloudy conditions are expected to support strong solar heating, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms could cap extremes through increased cloud cover and brief cooling. This aligns with late-summer climatology where seasonal averages near 32–34°C are often exceeded when steering patterns favor subsidence. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 37°C and 38°C outcomes tracks these guidance trends, with resolution hinging on official observed peak readings; updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions