Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 1 high temperature centers on typical early-July patterns in the Sichuan basin, where average highs reach about 30°C amid high humidity and frequent convective showers. Short-term forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local models points to 28–31°C as the most probable range, driven by monsoon moisture, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings. The spread across 29–32°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty from model differences in timing of precipitation and steering patterns, with no major heatwave or anomalous subtropical ridge currently indicated to push extremes higher. Historical July variability supports this clustered distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 1?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$148,462 Vol.
$148,462 Vol.
Jul 1, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$148,462 Vol.
$148,462 Vol.
Jul 1, 2026
25°C or below
$20,693 Vol.
No
26°C
$13,355 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,263 Vol.
No
28°C
$10,398 Vol.
No
29°C
$10,554 Vol.
No
30°C
$16,036 Vol.
No
31°C
$17,881 Vol.
No
32°C
$17,158 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$15,326 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,734 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$12,064 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 1 high temperature centers on typical early-July patterns in the Sichuan basin, where average highs reach about 30°C amid high humidity and frequent convective showers. Short-term forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local models points to 28–31°C as the most probable range, driven by monsoon moisture, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings. The spread across 29–32°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty from model differences in timing of precipitation and steering patterns, with no major heatwave or anomalous subtropical ridge currently indicated to push extremes higher. Historical July variability supports this clustered distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$148,462End Date
Jul 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 1 high temperature centers on typical early-July patterns in the Sichuan basin, where average highs reach about 30°C amid high humidity and frequent convective showers. Short-term forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local models points to 28–31°C as the most probable range, driven by monsoon moisture, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings. The spread across 29–32°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty from model differences in timing of precipitation and steering patterns, with no major heatwave or anomalous subtropical ridge currently indicated to push extremes higher. Historical July variability supports this clustered distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$148,462End Date
Jul 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 1 high temperature centers on typical early-July patterns in the Sichuan basin, where average highs reach about 30°C amid high humidity and frequent convective showers. Short-term forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local models points to 28–31°C as the most probable range, driven by monsoon moisture, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings. The spread across 29–32°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty from model differences in timing of precipitation and steering patterns, with no major heatwave or anomalous subtropical ridge currently indicated to push extremes higher. Historical July variability supports this clustered distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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