Forecast model guidance from the ECMWF and regional centers like KNMI shows a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam on July 6, 2026, with daytime maxima most likely in the 20–23°C range amid light westerly flow and variable cloud cover over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from potential sunny breaks versus increased marine influence or northerly shifts that could cap readings near 20–21°C, keeping higher outcomes like 24°C+ at low probability. This aligns with climatological averages near 21–22°C for the period and recent short-range runs clustering tightly around these values. Updated model outputs and official briefings closer to the date will further refine resolution criteria based on the daily maximum observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 6?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 6?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,772 Vol.
$82,772 Vol.
Jul 6, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,772 Vol.
$82,772 Vol.
Jul 6, 2026
16°C or below
$1,986 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,181 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,496 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,996 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,651 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,354 Vol.
No
22°C
$8,358 Vol.
No
23°C
$16,794 Vol.
No
24°C
$13,930 Vol.
No
25°C
$13,157 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$13,869 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model guidance from the ECMWF and regional centers like KNMI shows a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam on July 6, 2026, with daytime maxima most likely in the 20–23°C range amid light westerly flow and variable cloud cover over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from potential sunny breaks versus increased marine influence or northerly shifts that could cap readings near 20–21°C, keeping higher outcomes like 24°C+ at low probability. This aligns with climatological averages near 21–22°C for the period and recent short-range runs clustering tightly around these values. Updated model outputs and official briefings closer to the date will further refine resolution criteria based on the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$82,772End Date
Jul 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model guidance from the ECMWF and regional centers like KNMI shows a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam on July 6, 2026, with daytime maxima most likely in the 20–23°C range amid light westerly flow and variable cloud cover over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from potential sunny breaks versus increased marine influence or northerly shifts that could cap readings near 20–21°C, keeping higher outcomes like 24°C+ at low probability. This aligns with climatological averages near 21–22°C for the period and recent short-range runs clustering tightly around these values. Updated model outputs and official briefings closer to the date will further refine resolution criteria based on the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$82,772End Date
Jul 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast model guidance from the ECMWF and regional centers like KNMI shows a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam on July 6, 2026, with daytime maxima most likely in the 20–23°C range amid light westerly flow and variable cloud cover over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from potential sunny breaks versus increased marine influence or northerly shifts that could cap readings near 20–21°C, keeping higher outcomes like 24°C+ at low probability. This aligns with climatological averages near 21–22°C for the period and recent short-range runs clustering tightly around these values. Updated model outputs and official briefings closer to the date will further refine resolution criteria based on the daily maximum observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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