National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 98°F for Atlanta on July 4 under sunny skies within a persistent heat dome, driving the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Recent model consensus and heat advisories through the holiday weekend reinforce upper-90s readings, though afternoon humidity, minor convective timing, or observational site specifics at official stations introduce narrow uncertainty that favors 94-97°F ranges over 98-99°F. Traders weigh climatological baselines—July averages around 90°F with records near 99°F—against stable short-term guidance showing minimal cooling trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on July 4?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 4?
92-93°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$91,531 Vol.
$91,531 Vol.
Jul 4, 2026
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$91,531 Vol.
$91,531 Vol.
Jul 4, 2026
87°F or below
$6,121 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$7,892 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$32,275 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$8,799 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$12,582 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$9,598 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$3,323 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$5,084 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$2,862 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$1,258 Vol.
No
106°F or higher
$1,736 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 98°F for Atlanta on July 4 under sunny skies within a persistent heat dome, driving the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Recent model consensus and heat advisories through the holiday weekend reinforce upper-90s readings, though afternoon humidity, minor convective timing, or observational site specifics at official stations introduce narrow uncertainty that favors 94-97°F ranges over 98-99°F. Traders weigh climatological baselines—July averages around 90°F with records near 99°F—against stable short-term guidance showing minimal cooling trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$91,531End Date
Jul 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 98°F for Atlanta on July 4 under sunny skies within a persistent heat dome, driving the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Recent model consensus and heat advisories through the holiday weekend reinforce upper-90s readings, though afternoon humidity, minor convective timing, or observational site specifics at official stations introduce narrow uncertainty that favors 94-97°F ranges over 98-99°F. Traders weigh climatological baselines—July averages around 90°F with records near 99°F—against stable short-term guidance showing minimal cooling trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$91,531End Date
Jul 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 98°F for Atlanta on July 4 under sunny skies within a persistent heat dome, driving the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Recent model consensus and heat advisories through the holiday weekend reinforce upper-90s readings, though afternoon humidity, minor convective timing, or observational site specifics at official stations introduce narrow uncertainty that favors 94-97°F ranges over 98-99°F. Traders weigh climatological baselines—July averages around 90°F with records near 99°F—against stable short-term guidance showing minimal cooling trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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