Official temperature observations from Chicago Midway International Airport on June 4, 2026, recorded a daily high in the mid-80s, driven by an influx of mid-summer air under southwest winds and clear skies that produced readings roughly 10°F above seasonal normals near 77°F. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts and climatological patterns for early June, leaving the market-implied probability at 100% for 66°F or higher. Only an extreme measurement revision or station data anomaly could shift resolution, though such events remain statistically rare given multiple confirming reports and historical verification protocols.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chicago on June 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 4?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$9,070 Vol.
$9,070 Vol.
4 giu 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$9,070 Vol.
$9,070 Vol.
4 giu 2026
47°F or below
$1,062 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$545 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$347 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$347 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$347 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$371 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$249 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$361 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$707 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$1,016 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$3,718 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Chicago Midway International Airport on June 4, 2026, recorded a daily high in the mid-80s, driven by an influx of mid-summer air under southwest winds and clear skies that produced readings roughly 10°F above seasonal normals near 77°F. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts and climatological patterns for early June, leaving the market-implied probability at 100% for 66°F or higher. Only an extreme measurement revision or station data anomaly could shift resolution, though such events remain statistically rare given multiple confirming reports and historical verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$9,070Data di fine
4 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Chicago Midway International Airport on June 4, 2026, recorded a daily high in the mid-80s, driven by an influx of mid-summer air under southwest winds and clear skies that produced readings roughly 10°F above seasonal normals near 77°F. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts and climatological patterns for early June, leaving the market-implied probability at 100% for 66°F or higher. Only an extreme measurement revision or station data anomaly could shift resolution, though such events remain statistically rare given multiple confirming reports and historical verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,070Data di fine
4 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official temperature observations from Chicago Midway International Airport on June 4, 2026, recorded a daily high in the mid-80s, driven by an influx of mid-summer air under southwest winds and clear skies that produced readings roughly 10°F above seasonal normals near 77°F. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts and climatological patterns for early June, leaving the market-implied probability at 100% for 66°F or higher. Only an extreme measurement revision or station data anomaly could shift resolution, though such events remain statistically rare given multiple confirming reports and historical verification protocols.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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