Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Chongqing on May 10, 2026, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Chongqing Jiangbei Airport, confirming a midday peak of 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which converged on 27-29°C highs amid the region's basin topography that traps heat for typical early-May maxima averaging 26°C. With the diurnal heating cycle complete and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from clear skies or downslope föhn winds—scenarios refuted by current nowcasts. Final CMA daily record expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 10?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 10?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$67,475 Vol.
$67,475 Vol.
May 10, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$67,475 Vol.
$67,475 Vol.
May 10, 2026
24°C or below
$6,827 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,586 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,569 Vol.
No
27°C
$13,325 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,019 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$7,018 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,941 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,916 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,188 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,644 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$1,442 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Chongqing on May 10, 2026, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Chongqing Jiangbei Airport, confirming a midday peak of 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which converged on 27-29°C highs amid the region's basin topography that traps heat for typical early-May maxima averaging 26°C. With the diurnal heating cycle complete and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from clear skies or downslope föhn winds—scenarios refuted by current nowcasts. Final CMA daily record expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$67,475End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Chongqing on May 10, 2026, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Chongqing Jiangbei Airport, confirming a midday peak of 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which converged on 27-29°C highs amid the region's basin topography that traps heat for typical early-May maxima averaging 26°C. With the diurnal heating cycle complete and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from clear skies or downslope föhn winds—scenarios refuted by current nowcasts. Final CMA daily record expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$67,475End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Chongqing on May 10, 2026, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Chongqing Jiangbei Airport, confirming a midday peak of 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which converged on 27-29°C highs amid the region's basin topography that traps heat for typical early-May maxima averaging 26°C. With the diurnal heating cycle complete and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from clear skies or downslope föhn winds—scenarios refuted by current nowcasts. Final CMA daily record expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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