**Short-term forecasts from sources like BBC Weather indicate sunny conditions with highs near 35°C for July 7 in Chongqing, aligning with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 24.5% implied probability.** July marks peak summer in this humid subtropical region, where seasonal averages reach 32–35°C but extremes often hit 37–40°C under clear skies and high humidity. Key variables include steering patterns that could allow convective showers to cap temperatures at 34°C or below, versus prolonged sunshine and urban heat effects pushing readings to 37°C or higher. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, while official station measurements (typically at airports or urban sites) determine resolution. Traders weigh recent warm trends and minimal cooling precipitation against the chance of monsoon-related variability in the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 7?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 7?
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$85,572 Vol.
$85,572 Vol.
Jul 7, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$85,572 Vol.
$85,572 Vol.
Jul 7, 2026
30°C or below
$2,719 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,170 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,045 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,695 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,097 Vol.
No
35°C
$17,768 Vol.
No
36°C
$7,594 Vol.
No
37°C
$17,333 Vol.
Yes
38°C
$7,184 Vol.
No
39°C
$6,731 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$7,236 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from sources like BBC Weather indicate sunny conditions with highs near 35°C for July 7 in Chongqing, aligning with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 24.5% implied probability.** July marks peak summer in this humid subtropical region, where seasonal averages reach 32–35°C but extremes often hit 37–40°C under clear skies and high humidity. Key variables include steering patterns that could allow convective showers to cap temperatures at 34°C or below, versus prolonged sunshine and urban heat effects pushing readings to 37°C or higher. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, while official station measurements (typically at airports or urban sites) determine resolution. Traders weigh recent warm trends and minimal cooling precipitation against the chance of monsoon-related variability in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$85,572End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from sources like BBC Weather indicate sunny conditions with highs near 35°C for July 7 in Chongqing, aligning with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 24.5% implied probability.** July marks peak summer in this humid subtropical region, where seasonal averages reach 32–35°C but extremes often hit 37–40°C under clear skies and high humidity. Key variables include steering patterns that could allow convective showers to cap temperatures at 34°C or below, versus prolonged sunshine and urban heat effects pushing readings to 37°C or higher. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, while official station measurements (typically at airports or urban sites) determine resolution. Traders weigh recent warm trends and minimal cooling precipitation against the chance of monsoon-related variability in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85,572End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Short-term forecasts from sources like BBC Weather indicate sunny conditions with highs near 35°C for July 7 in Chongqing, aligning with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 24.5% implied probability.** July marks peak summer in this humid subtropical region, where seasonal averages reach 32–35°C but extremes often hit 37–40°C under clear skies and high humidity. Key variables include steering patterns that could allow convective showers to cap temperatures at 34°C or below, versus prolonged sunshine and urban heat effects pushing readings to 37°C or higher. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, while official station measurements (typically at airports or urban sites) determine resolution. Traders weigh recent warm trends and minimal cooling precipitation against the chance of monsoon-related variability in the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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