Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures across Sindh through the July-August period, supporting trader focus on 32–33°C outcomes for Karachi on July 18 amid the southwest monsoon. Subtle differences between these levels hinge on cloud cover, sea-breeze strength, and localized moisture convergence, which can suppress daytime heating by 1–2°C or allow clearer skies to push readings higher. Current surface observations near 30°C with hazy conditions and light showers align with historical July averages of 31–33°C highs, while below-normal rainfall forecasts reduce evaporative cooling potential. Short-range model consensus will clarify exact maxima before resolution at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on July 18?
33°C 39%
32°C 31%
34°C 21%
31°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
31%
33°C
39%
34°C
21%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 39%
32°C 31%
34°C 21%
31°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
31%
33°C
39%
34°C
21%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures across Sindh through the July-August period, supporting trader focus on 32–33°C outcomes for Karachi on July 18 amid the southwest monsoon. Subtle differences between these levels hinge on cloud cover, sea-breeze strength, and localized moisture convergence, which can suppress daytime heating by 1–2°C or allow clearer skies to push readings higher. Current surface observations near 30°C with hazy conditions and light showers align with historical July averages of 31–33°C highs, while below-normal rainfall forecasts reduce evaporative cooling potential. Short-range model consensus will clarify exact maxima before resolution at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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