Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate project a maximum near 39°C for Jeddah on July 18, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 37–39°C outcomes. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal setting typically caps July highs through sea-breeze moderation and high humidity, with climatological averages of 37°C; subtle day-to-day variations in wind speed, cloud cover, or sea-surface temperature anomalies can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical July extremes rarely exceeding 40°C, creating balanced probabilities across the central range while discounting lower or much higher thresholds absent major atmospheric shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on July 18?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 18?
38°C 25%
39°C 22%
40°C 20%
41°C or higher 19%
NEW
NEW
Jul 18, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
7%
37°C
14%
38°C
25%
39°C
22%
40°C
20%
41°C or higher
19%
38°C 25%
39°C 22%
40°C 20%
41°C or higher 19%
NEW
NEW
Jul 18, 2026
31°C or below
$713 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$312 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$255 Vol.
1%
35°C
$264 Vol.
3%
36°C
$159 Vol.
7%
37°C
$172 Vol.
14%
38°C
$159 Vol.
25%
39°C
$145 Vol.
22%
40°C
$131 Vol.
20%
41°C or higher
$229 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate project a maximum near 39°C for Jeddah on July 18, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 37–39°C outcomes. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal setting typically caps July highs through sea-breeze moderation and high humidity, with climatological averages of 37°C; subtle day-to-day variations in wind speed, cloud cover, or sea-surface temperature anomalies can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical July extremes rarely exceeding 40°C, creating balanced probabilities across the central range while discounting lower or much higher thresholds absent major atmospheric shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,589End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate project a maximum near 39°C for Jeddah on July 18, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 37–39°C outcomes. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal setting typically caps July highs through sea-breeze moderation and high humidity, with climatological averages of 37°C; subtle day-to-day variations in wind speed, cloud cover, or sea-surface temperature anomalies can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical July extremes rarely exceeding 40°C, creating balanced probabilities across the central range while discounting lower or much higher thresholds absent major atmospheric shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,589End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate project a maximum near 39°C for Jeddah on July 18, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 37–39°C outcomes. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal setting typically caps July highs through sea-breeze moderation and high humidity, with climatological averages of 37°C; subtle day-to-day variations in wind speed, cloud cover, or sea-surface temperature anomalies can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical July extremes rarely exceeding 40°C, creating balanced probabilities across the central range while discounting lower or much higher thresholds absent major atmospheric shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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