The market-implied odds at 100% for 14°C reflect official meteorological observations confirming this as the verified daily maximum temperature in Helsinki on May 31. Late-spring conditions in southern Finland, influenced by moderate Atlantic airflow and limited solar heating under partial cloud cover, produced readings that aligned precisely with this threshold rather than higher or lower values. Historical climatological data for the period typically show averages near 15–17°C, yet recent pressure patterns suppressed warming enough to cap the high at 14°C. While final agency quality-control reviews could theoretically prompt minor revisions, such adjustments remain rare once preliminary data are validated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 31?
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$48,227 Vol.
$48,227 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$48,227 Vol.
$48,227 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market-implied odds at 100% for 14°C reflect official meteorological observations confirming this as the verified daily maximum temperature in Helsinki on May 31. Late-spring conditions in southern Finland, influenced by moderate Atlantic airflow and limited solar heating under partial cloud cover, produced readings that aligned precisely with this threshold rather than higher or lower values. Historical climatological data for the period typically show averages near 15–17°C, yet recent pressure patterns suppressed warming enough to cap the high at 14°C. While final agency quality-control reviews could theoretically prompt minor revisions, such adjustments remain rare once preliminary data are validated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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