Traders assign overwhelming probability to a 37°C high in Jeddah on June 14 because current numerical weather model guidance and real-time surface observations align closely with the city’s June climatological baseline. Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal setting produces consistently hot, humid conditions under strong solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and light onshore flow that limits nocturnal cooling and keeps daily maxima tightly clustered around 36–38°C. Official monitoring shows early-June peaks frequently landing at or near 37°C, with no major atmospheric perturbations such as increased moisture or stronger winds expected today. Only significant forecast revisions, unexpected convective development, or station-specific measurement differences could realistically shift the outcome away from this consensus value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 14?
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$64,410 Vol.
$64,410 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$64,410 Vol.
$64,410 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders assign overwhelming probability to a 37°C high in Jeddah on June 14 because current numerical weather model guidance and real-time surface observations align closely with the city’s June climatological baseline. Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal setting produces consistently hot, humid conditions under strong solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and light onshore flow that limits nocturnal cooling and keeps daily maxima tightly clustered around 36–38°C. Official monitoring shows early-June peaks frequently landing at or near 37°C, with no major atmospheric perturbations such as increased moisture or stronger winds expected today. Only significant forecast revisions, unexpected convective development, or station-specific measurement differences could realistically shift the outcome away from this consensus value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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