Recent forecast guidance for Jeddah points to a daily maximum near 37–38°C on June 19, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-June climatology at King Abdulaziz International Airport shows average highs of 36–38°C, driven by strong solar heating under subtropical ridging tempered by Red Sea sea breezes and moderate northwesterly winds. Variability in the 37–39°C range stems from uncertainty over exact wind speed and direction, which can either enhance or suppress the moderating marine influence, plus minor differences in model handling of boundary-layer moisture. With no major synoptic systems expected, traders weigh the latest model runs against historical June distributions, where readings of 36°C or below remain possible only with unusually strong onshore flow and values at or above 39°C require suppressed breezes. Final official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 19?
39°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$29,637 Vol.
$29,637 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$29,637 Vol.
$29,637 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 17, 2026, 2:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecast guidance for Jeddah points to a daily maximum near 37–38°C on June 19, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-June climatology at King Abdulaziz International Airport shows average highs of 36–38°C, driven by strong solar heating under subtropical ridging tempered by Red Sea sea breezes and moderate northwesterly winds. Variability in the 37–39°C range stems from uncertainty over exact wind speed and direction, which can either enhance or suppress the moderating marine influence, plus minor differences in model handling of boundary-layer moisture. With no major synoptic systems expected, traders weigh the latest model runs against historical June distributions, where readings of 36°C or below remain possible only with unusually strong onshore flow and values at or above 39°C require suppressed breezes. Final official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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