Current forecast models from multiple meteorological services indicate persistent warm, sunny conditions over Jinan on September 6 driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow, with daytime highs projected in the low 30s°C range. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where clear skies and limited cloud cover promote strong solar heating before a cooler front arrives around September 8. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects broad model agreement and recent observations of temperatures already exceeding 30°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or significant cloud buildup that suppresses maximum temperatures, though such shifts remain outside the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on September 6?
26°C or higher 96%
16°C or below 4%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
96%
26°C or higher 96%
16°C or below 4%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from multiple meteorological services indicate persistent warm, sunny conditions over Jinan on September 6 driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow, with daytime highs projected in the low 30s°C range. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where clear skies and limited cloud cover promote strong solar heating before a cooler front arrives around September 8. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects broad model agreement and recent observations of temperatures already exceeding 30°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or significant cloud buildup that suppresses maximum temperatures, though such shifts remain outside the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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