Official measurements from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 27°C or below, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This unusually low reading for late April, when climatological averages hover around 32–33°C, stems from persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and early rainy season onset reported by the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), suppressing daytime heating despite typical harmattan haze dissipation. Model forecasts had anticipated 32–34°C, but real-time METAR observations captured the cooler reality. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare instrument recalibrations or data disputes could prompt review; traders await NiMet's final daily summary for closure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lagos on April 28?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 28?
27°C or below 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$58,827 Vol.
$58,827 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
27°C or below
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
27°C or below 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$58,827 Vol.
$58,827 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
27°C or below
$16,078 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$4,104 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,078 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,648 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,496 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,618 Vol.
No
33°C
$6,875 Vol.
No
34°C
$9,111 Vol.
No
35°C
$6,236 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,983 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$2,599 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 27°C or below, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This unusually low reading for late April, when climatological averages hover around 32–33°C, stems from persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and early rainy season onset reported by the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), suppressing daytime heating despite typical harmattan haze dissipation. Model forecasts had anticipated 32–34°C, but real-time METAR observations captured the cooler reality. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare instrument recalibrations or data disputes could prompt review; traders await NiMet's final daily summary for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 26, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$58,827End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 27°C or below, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This unusually low reading for late April, when climatological averages hover around 32–33°C, stems from persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and early rainy season onset reported by the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), suppressing daytime heating despite typical harmattan haze dissipation. Model forecasts had anticipated 32–34°C, but real-time METAR observations captured the cooler reality. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare instrument recalibrations or data disputes could prompt review; traders await NiMet's final daily summary for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$58,827End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official measurements from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 27°C or below, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This unusually low reading for late April, when climatological averages hover around 32–33°C, stems from persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and early rainy season onset reported by the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), suppressing daytime heating despite typical harmattan haze dissipation. Model forecasts had anticipated 32–34°C, but real-time METAR observations captured the cooler reality. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare instrument recalibrations or data disputes could prompt review; traders await NiMet's final daily summary for closure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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