Trader consensus favors a highest temperature of 13°C in London on April 5 at 45.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest BBC Weather and Met Office forecasts showing sunny intervals with moderate westerly winds around 14 mph capping daytime highs near seasonal norms of 13°C at London City Airport. This positioning reflects building high pressure over southern UK early April, delivering mild settled conditions after late March's changeable patterns of rain and wind, with model ensembles indicating minimal intensification risk. Slightly cooler 12°C odds at 24% account for potential breeze-enhanced cooling or extra cloud, while 14°C at 17.5% hedges warmer clears; daily updates from the Met Office through April 4 could refine these amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on April 5?
Highest temperature in London on April 5?
13°C 38%
12°C 23%
14°C 18%
11°C 8%
$10,732 Vol.
$10,732 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
23%
13°C
38%
14°C
18%
15°C
6%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 38%
12°C 23%
14°C 18%
11°C 8%
$10,732 Vol.
$10,732 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
23%
13°C
38%
14°C
18%
15°C
6%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a highest temperature of 13°C in London on April 5 at 45.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest BBC Weather and Met Office forecasts showing sunny intervals with moderate westerly winds around 14 mph capping daytime highs near seasonal norms of 13°C at London City Airport. This positioning reflects building high pressure over southern UK early April, delivering mild settled conditions after late March's changeable patterns of rain and wind, with model ensembles indicating minimal intensification risk. Slightly cooler 12°C odds at 24% account for potential breeze-enhanced cooling or extra cloud, while 14°C at 17.5% hedges warmer clears; daily updates from the Met Office through April 4 could refine these amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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