Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C at 80.5% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration projecting a daytime high of 60–61°F (16°C) under moderate rain, breezy morning winds, and persistent cloud cover that suppresses solar heating. This marks a cooldown from April 2's milder morning readings of 13–18°C, aligning with early-spring frontal patterns bringing precipitation over eastern China. Historical April highs average 18°C, but model consensus (including ECMWF analogs) accounts for overcast conditions limiting peaks, with minor uncertainty from potential brief cloud breaks; real-time observations from Xujiahui station will confirm by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 3?
16°C 81%
17°C 17%
18°C 2.7%
19°C <1%
$122,607 Vol.
$122,607 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
16°C
81%
17°C
17%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 81%
17°C 17%
18°C 2.7%
19°C <1%
$122,607 Vol.
$122,607 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
16°C
$12,059 Vol.
81%
17°C
$8,094 Vol.
17%
18°C
$8,828 Vol.
3%
19°C
$8,933 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$16,295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C at 80.5% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration projecting a daytime high of 60–61°F (16°C) under moderate rain, breezy morning winds, and persistent cloud cover that suppresses solar heating. This marks a cooldown from April 2's milder morning readings of 13–18°C, aligning with early-spring frontal patterns bringing precipitation over eastern China. Historical April highs average 18°C, but model consensus (including ECMWF analogs) accounts for overcast conditions limiting peaks, with minor uncertainty from potential brief cloud breaks; real-time observations from Xujiahui station will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volume
$122,607End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C at 80.5% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration projecting a daytime high of 60–61°F (16°C) under moderate rain, breezy morning winds, and persistent cloud cover that suppresses solar heating. This marks a cooldown from April 2's milder morning readings of 13–18°C, aligning with early-spring frontal patterns bringing precipitation over eastern China. Historical April highs average 18°C, but model consensus (including ECMWF analogs) accounts for overcast conditions limiting peaks, with minor uncertainty from potential brief cloud breaks; real-time observations from Xujiahui station will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$122,607End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C at 80.5% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration projecting a daytime high of 60–61°F (16°C) under moderate rain, breezy morning winds, and persistent cloud cover that suppresses solar heating. This marks a cooldown from April 2's milder morning readings of 13–18°C, aligning with early-spring frontal patterns bringing precipitation over eastern China. Historical April highs average 18°C, but model consensus (including ECMWF analogs) accounts for overcast conditions limiting peaks, with minor uncertainty from potential brief cloud breaks; real-time observations from Xujiahui station will confirm by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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