National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles project Miami's highest temperature on April 2 at 82-83°F, aligning with the site's climatological normal of 82°F for early April and driving the overwhelming trader consensus at nearly 100%. This positioning stems from a dominant upper-level ridge fostering sunny skies, light east-southeasterly winds, and sea breeze moderation that cap peak heating, as confirmed by recent soundings and satellite observations showing stable boundary layer conditions. No significant deviations have occurred in the past 48 hours, with morning temperatures tracking seasonal baselines. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies intensifying solar insolation or delayed sea breeze onset pushing toward 84°F+, though ensemble spreads indicate low probability; final confirmation awaits late-afternoon METAR reports from Miami International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 2?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 2?
82-83°F 99.8%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$183,893 Vol.
$183,893 Vol.
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 99.8%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$183,893 Vol.
$183,893 Vol.
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles project Miami's highest temperature on April 2 at 82-83°F, aligning with the site's climatological normal of 82°F for early April and driving the overwhelming trader consensus at nearly 100%. This positioning stems from a dominant upper-level ridge fostering sunny skies, light east-southeasterly winds, and sea breeze moderation that cap peak heating, as confirmed by recent soundings and satellite observations showing stable boundary layer conditions. No significant deviations have occurred in the past 48 hours, with morning temperatures tracking seasonal baselines. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies intensifying solar insolation or delayed sea breeze onset pushing toward 84°F+, though ensemble spreads indicate low probability; final confirmation awaits late-afternoon METAR reports from Miami International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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