Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting divergent forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models amid a transition from unseasonably cool maxima of 15–18°C on April 4–5, per Israel Meteorological Service observations of hazy skies, light winds, and below-seasonal anomalies. Sunny conditions with light westerly breezes are anticipated, but model disagreements—ECMWF leaning slightly cooler near 20–21°C, GFS warmer toward 22–23°C—underscore uncertainty in ridge strengthening and marine layer persistence. April climatology averages 22°C highs, with new model runs and IMS updates expected overnight to refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 6?
21°C 26%
22°C 22%
23°C 21%
20°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 6, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
10%
19°C
4%
20°C
16%
21°C
26%
22°C
22%
23°C
21%
24°C or higher
12%
21°C 26%
22°C 22%
23°C 21%
20°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 6, 2026
14°C or below
$433 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$462 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$322 Vol.
1%
17°C
$264 Vol.
1%
18°C
$799 Vol.
10%
19°C
$472 Vol.
4%
20°C
$377 Vol.
16%
21°C
$260 Vol.
26%
22°C
$390 Vol.
22%
23°C
$547 Vol.
21%
24°C or higher
$535 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting divergent forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models amid a transition from unseasonably cool maxima of 15–18°C on April 4–5, per Israel Meteorological Service observations of hazy skies, light winds, and below-seasonal anomalies. Sunny conditions with light westerly breezes are anticipated, but model disagreements—ECMWF leaning slightly cooler near 20–21°C, GFS warmer toward 22–23°C—underscore uncertainty in ridge strengthening and marine layer persistence. April climatology averages 22°C highs, with new model runs and IMS updates expected overnight to refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,861End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting divergent forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models amid a transition from unseasonably cool maxima of 15–18°C on April 4–5, per Israel Meteorological Service observations of hazy skies, light winds, and below-seasonal anomalies. Sunny conditions with light westerly breezes are anticipated, but model disagreements—ECMWF leaning slightly cooler near 20–21°C, GFS warmer toward 22–23°C—underscore uncertainty in ridge strengthening and marine layer persistence. April climatology averages 22°C highs, with new model runs and IMS updates expected overnight to refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,861End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting divergent forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models amid a transition from unseasonably cool maxima of 15–18°C on April 4–5, per Israel Meteorological Service observations of hazy skies, light winds, and below-seasonal anomalies. Sunny conditions with light westerly breezes are anticipated, but model disagreements—ECMWF leaning slightly cooler near 20–21°C, GFS warmer toward 22–23°C—underscore uncertainty in ridge strengthening and marine layer persistence. April climatology averages 22°C highs, with new model runs and IMS updates expected overnight to refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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