Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42.5% probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 28°C or below, driven by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest forecasts of persistent partly cloudy skies with thunderstorms and rain from an active western disturbance—a cyclonic circulation over East Iran affecting northwest India. This system has already capped recent maximums at 34-35°C, well below early April climatological norms of 35-37°C, by reducing insolation through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Outcomes around 29-31°C (15-12%) reflect model consensus for continued suppression, though dry northerly winds could allow slight warming; watch IMD's daily updates for evolving guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 8?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 8?
28°C or below 43%
29°C 16%
30°C 15%
31°C 9%
28°C or below
43%
29°C
16%
30°C
15%
31°C
9%
32°C
9%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
28°C or below 43%
29°C 16%
30°C 15%
31°C 9%
28°C or below
43%
29°C
16%
30°C
15%
31°C
9%
32°C
9%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42.5% probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 28°C or below, driven by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest forecasts of persistent partly cloudy skies with thunderstorms and rain from an active western disturbance—a cyclonic circulation over East Iran affecting northwest India. This system has already capped recent maximums at 34-35°C, well below early April climatological norms of 35-37°C, by reducing insolation through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Outcomes around 29-31°C (15-12%) reflect model consensus for continued suppression, though dry northerly winds could allow slight warming; watch IMD's daily updates for evolving guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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