Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a high of 28°C in Chongqing on April 4 under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, following today's sunny conditions and 25°C peak, driving trader consensus toward 27–28°C outcomes at 25–30% implied probabilities. This clustering reflects springtime warming in the Yangtze River basin, where topographic trapping enhances daytime heating amid high-pressure ridging, but slight model variations—such as potential afternoon cloud development reducing insolation—create uncertainty differentiating 26°C (24.5%) from higher bins. Historical early April averages hover near 23°C, underscoring the mild anomaly. Hourly observations from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport will sharpen resolution as diurnal maximum typically peaks mid-afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
27°C 31%
26°C 26%
28°C 25%
29°C 13%
$16,713 Vol.
$16,713 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
26%
27°C
31%
28°C
25%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 31%
26°C 26%
28°C 25%
29°C 13%
$16,713 Vol.
$16,713 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
26%
27°C
31%
28°C
25%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a high of 28°C in Chongqing on April 4 under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, following today's sunny conditions and 25°C peak, driving trader consensus toward 27–28°C outcomes at 25–30% implied probabilities. This clustering reflects springtime warming in the Yangtze River basin, where topographic trapping enhances daytime heating amid high-pressure ridging, but slight model variations—such as potential afternoon cloud development reducing insolation—create uncertainty differentiating 26°C (24.5%) from higher bins. Historical early April averages hover near 23°C, underscoring the mild anomaly. Hourly observations from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport will sharpen resolution as diurnal maximum typically peaks mid-afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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