Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C high temperature in Wuhan at 99.4% implied probability, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast of 15-22°C under overcast skies with drizzle, corroborated by international models projecting maxima around 20-21°C. Current airport observations show morning temperatures of 15-18°C amid persistent cloud cover, which limits solar insolation and diurnal heating—consistent with early April climatological averages of ~20°C highs. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment on moderated warming from cloudy conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for brief solar heating to 21°C or a reinforcing cool air mass dropping the peak to 19°C; final resolution hinges on hourly data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station through evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
20°C 99.4%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
19°C <1%
$74,902 Vol.
$74,902 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
19°C
<1%
20°C
99%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.4%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
19°C <1%
$74,902 Vol.
$74,902 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
19°C
$13,551 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$8,558 Vol.
99%
21°C
$8,809 Vol.
1%
22°C
$7,498 Vol.
1%
23°C
$6,060 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,162 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,771 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$3,192 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C high temperature in Wuhan at 99.4% implied probability, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast of 15-22°C under overcast skies with drizzle, corroborated by international models projecting maxima around 20-21°C. Current airport observations show morning temperatures of 15-18°C amid persistent cloud cover, which limits solar insolation and diurnal heating—consistent with early April climatological averages of ~20°C highs. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment on moderated warming from cloudy conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for brief solar heating to 21°C or a reinforcing cool air mass dropping the peak to 19°C; final resolution hinges on hourly data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$74,902End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C high temperature in Wuhan at 99.4% implied probability, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast of 15-22°C under overcast skies with drizzle, corroborated by international models projecting maxima around 20-21°C. Current airport observations show morning temperatures of 15-18°C amid persistent cloud cover, which limits solar insolation and diurnal heating—consistent with early April climatological averages of ~20°C highs. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment on moderated warming from cloudy conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for brief solar heating to 21°C or a reinforcing cool air mass dropping the peak to 19°C; final resolution hinges on hourly data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$74,902End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C high temperature in Wuhan at 99.4% implied probability, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast of 15-22°C under overcast skies with drizzle, corroborated by international models projecting maxima around 20-21°C. Current airport observations show morning temperatures of 15-18°C amid persistent cloud cover, which limits solar insolation and diurnal heating—consistent with early April climatological averages of ~20°C highs. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment on moderated warming from cloudy conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for brief solar heating to 21°C or a reinforcing cool air mass dropping the peak to 19°C; final resolution hinges on hourly data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station through evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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