Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 7, driven by divergent model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF on the strength of incoming Santa Ana winds and marine layer persistence. Recent light showers on April 1-2 cleared to sunny conditions with highs near 70°F, but offshore Santa Ana gusts ramping up to 45-60 mph from Friday could enhance subsidence warming and sky clearing, favoring 74-75°F (26.5%) or hotter outcomes above 82°F (25.5%) if winds dominate. Persistent coastal stratus or a weak trough return supports cooler bets like 63°F or below (25.5%), amid ENSO-neutral transition reducing typical La Niña suppression. Watch daily NWS updates and 12z model runs for shifts before resolution at Los Angeles International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 7?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 7?
68-69°F 21%
70-71°F 19%
74-75°F 17%
76-77°F 16%
63°F or below
11%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 21%
70-71°F 19%
74-75°F 17%
76-77°F 16%
63°F or below
11%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 6:22 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 7, driven by divergent model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF on the strength of incoming Santa Ana winds and marine layer persistence. Recent light showers on April 1-2 cleared to sunny conditions with highs near 70°F, but offshore Santa Ana gusts ramping up to 45-60 mph from Friday could enhance subsidence warming and sky clearing, favoring 74-75°F (26.5%) or hotter outcomes above 82°F (25.5%) if winds dominate. Persistent coastal stratus or a weak trough return supports cooler bets like 63°F or below (25.5%), amid ENSO-neutral transition reducing typical La Niña suppression. Watch daily NWS updates and 12z model runs for shifts before resolution at Los Angeles International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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